Goldman Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 306.73

GS -  USA Stock  

USD 306.73  6.24  1.99%

Goldman Sachs' future price is the expected price of Goldman Sachs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Goldman Sachs Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Goldman Sachs Price to Earnings Ratio are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Goldman Sachs reported last year Price to Earnings Ratio of 6.35. As of 05/18/2022, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 2.55, while Price to Book Value is likely to drop 1.16.
  
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Goldman Sachs' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Goldman Sachs Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Goldman Sachs based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Goldman Sachs Group over a specific time period. For example, 2022-05-20 CALL at $307.5 is a CALL option contract on Goldman Sachs' common stock with a strick price of 307.5 expiring on 2022-05-20. The contract was last traded on 2022-05-16 at 15:59:06 for $3.2 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.98, and an ask price of $3.4. The implied volatility as of the 18th of May 2022 is 39.1907. View All Goldman options

Closest to current price Goldman long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Goldman Sachs Backtesting, Goldman Sachs Valuation, Goldman Sachs Correlation, Goldman Sachs Hype Analysis, Goldman Sachs Volatility, Goldman Sachs History as well as Goldman Sachs Performance. Please specify Goldman Sachs time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Goldman Sachs odds to be computed.
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Goldman Sachs Target Price Odds to finish over 306.73

The tendency of Goldman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 306.73 90 days 306.73  more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goldman Sachs to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Goldman Sachs Group probability density function shows the probability of Goldman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Goldman Sachs will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Goldman Sachs Group is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Goldman Sachs Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Goldman Sachs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldman Sachs Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goldman Sachs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Goldman Sachs in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
309.68311.52313.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
279.53390.48392.32
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
390.00463.56598.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
59.7060.7062.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goldman Sachs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goldman Sachs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goldman Sachs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Goldman Sachs Group.

Goldman Sachs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goldman Sachs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goldman Sachs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goldman Sachs Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goldman Sachs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.09
β
Beta against DOW1.25
σ
Overall volatility
14.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Goldman Sachs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goldman Sachs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goldman Sachs Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goldman Sachs Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goldman Sachs Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by John Waldron of 43698 shares of Goldman Sachs subject to Rule 16b-3

Goldman Sachs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Goldman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Goldman Sachs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goldman Sachs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.48%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.75
Short Percent Of Float1.48%
Float Shares321.03M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.71M
Shares Short Prior Month4.22M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.96M
Date Short Interest15th of February 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.92%

Goldman Sachs Technical Analysis

Goldman Sachs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Goldman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Goldman Sachs Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Goldman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Goldman Sachs Predictive Forecast Models

Goldman Sachs time-series forecasting models is one of many Goldman Sachs' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Goldman Sachs' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Goldman Sachs Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goldman Sachs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Goldman Sachs Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Goldman Sachs Alerts

Goldman Sachs Alerts and Suggestions

Goldman Sachs Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Goldman Sachs Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by John Waldron of 43698 shares of Goldman Sachs subject to Rule 16b-3
Please check Goldman Sachs Backtesting, Goldman Sachs Valuation, Goldman Sachs Correlation, Goldman Sachs Hype Analysis, Goldman Sachs Volatility, Goldman Sachs History as well as Goldman Sachs Performance. Note that the Goldman Sachs Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Goldman Sachs' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Goldman Stock analysis

When running Goldman Sachs Group price analysis, check to measure Goldman Sachs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goldman Sachs is operating at the current time. Most of Goldman Sachs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goldman Sachs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goldman Sachs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goldman Sachs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Goldman Sachs' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Goldman Sachs. If investors know Goldman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Goldman Sachs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Goldman Sachs Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Goldman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Goldman Sachs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Goldman Sachs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Goldman Sachs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Goldman Sachs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Goldman Sachs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Goldman Sachs value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Goldman Sachs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.