1847 Goedeker Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0121

GOED
 Stock
  

USD 1.56  0.05  3.31%   

1847 Goedeker's future price is the expected price of 1847 Goedeker instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1847 Goedeker Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
1847 Goedeker's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on 1847 Goedeker Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of 1847 Goedeker based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in 1847 Goedeker Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on 1847 Goedeker's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-07-13 at 11:16:01 for $1.3 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.0, and an ask price of $1.35. The implied volatility as of the 15th of August 2022 is 235.6811. View All 1847 Goedeker options

Closest to current price 1847 Goedeker long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check 1847 Goedeker Backtesting, 1847 Goedeker Valuation, 1847 Goedeker Correlation, 1847 Goedeker Hype Analysis, 1847 Goedeker Volatility, 1847 Goedeker History as well as 1847 Goedeker Performance. Please specify 1847 Goedeker time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 1847 Goedeker odds to be computed.

1847 Goedeker Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0121

The tendency of 1847 Goedeker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0121  or more in 90 days
 1.56 90 days 0.0121 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1847 Goedeker to drop to $ 0.0121  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This 1847 Goedeker Inc probability density function shows the probability of 1847 Goedeker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1847 Goedeker Commom price to stay between $ 0.0121  and its current price of $1.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.39 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, 1847 Goedeker will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.224, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   1847 Goedeker Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1847 Goedeker

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1847 Goedeker Commom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1847 Goedeker's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of 1847 Goedeker in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.081.565.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.245.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0330451.655.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.951.371.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1847 Goedeker. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1847 Goedeker's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1847 Goedeker's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in 1847 Goedeker Commom.

1847 Goedeker Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1847 Goedeker is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1847 Goedeker's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1847 Goedeker Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1847 Goedeker within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.22
β
Beta against DOW1.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

1847 Goedeker Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1847 Goedeker for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1847 Goedeker Commom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
1847 Goedeker Commom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
1847 Goedeker Commom may become a speculative penny stock
1847 Goedeker Commom has high historical volatility and very poor performance
1847 Goedeker Commom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
1847 Goedeker Inc currently holds about 25.82 M in cash with (19.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.

1847 Goedeker Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1847 Goedeker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1847 Goedeker's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1847 Goedeker's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out10.26%
Short Percent Of Float11.33%
Float Shares91.35M
Shares Short Prior Month10.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.05M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.11M
Date Short Interest30th of June 2022

1847 Goedeker Technical Analysis

1847 Goedeker's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1847 Goedeker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1847 Goedeker Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1847 Goedeker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1847 Goedeker Predictive Forecast Models

1847 Goedeker time-series forecasting models is one of many 1847 Goedeker's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary 1847 Goedeker's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 1847 Goedeker Commom

Checking the ongoing alerts about 1847 Goedeker for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1847 Goedeker Commom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

1847 Goedeker Alerts

1847 Goedeker Alerts and Suggestions

1847 Goedeker Commom generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
1847 Goedeker Commom may become a speculative penny stock
1847 Goedeker Commom has high historical volatility and very poor performance
1847 Goedeker Commom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
1847 Goedeker Inc currently holds about 25.82 M in cash with (19.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.
Please check 1847 Goedeker Backtesting, 1847 Goedeker Valuation, 1847 Goedeker Correlation, 1847 Goedeker Hype Analysis, 1847 Goedeker Volatility, 1847 Goedeker History as well as 1847 Goedeker Performance. Note that the 1847 Goedeker Commom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other 1847 Goedeker's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for 1847 Goedeker Stock analysis

When running 1847 Goedeker Commom price analysis, check to measure 1847 Goedeker's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1847 Goedeker is operating at the current time. Most of 1847 Goedeker's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1847 Goedeker's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1847 Goedeker's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1847 Goedeker to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is 1847 Goedeker's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 1847 Goedeker. If investors know 1847 Goedeker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 1847 Goedeker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
130.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
10.15
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of 1847 Goedeker Commom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 1847 Goedeker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 1847 Goedeker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 1847 Goedeker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 1847 Goedeker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 1847 Goedeker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 1847 Goedeker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine 1847 Goedeker value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1847 Goedeker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.