TechnipFMC Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.02

FTI
 Stock
  

USD 6.64  0.09  1.34%   

TechnipFMC Plc's future price is the expected price of TechnipFMC Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TechnipFMC Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current Price to Book Value is estimated to increase to 0.83. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 212.91.
  
Refresh
TechnipFMC Plc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on TechnipFMC Plc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of TechnipFMC Plc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in TechnipFMC Plc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $7.0 is a CALL option contract on TechnipFMC Plc's common stock with a strick price of 7.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-07-01 at 13:21:59 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 13 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.2. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of July is 44.4269. View All TechnipFMC options

Closest to current price TechnipFMC long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check TechnipFMC Plc Backtesting, TechnipFMC Plc Valuation, TechnipFMC Plc Correlation, TechnipFMC Plc Hype Analysis, TechnipFMC Plc Volatility, TechnipFMC Plc History as well as TechnipFMC Plc Performance. Please specify TechnipFMC Plc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TechnipFMC Plc odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

TechnipFMC Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 8.02

The tendency of TechnipFMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 8.02  after 90 days
 6.64 90 days 8.02  about 73.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TechnipFMC Plc to stay under $ 8.02  after 90 days from now is about 73.92 (This TechnipFMC Plc probability density function shows the probability of TechnipFMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TechnipFMC Plc price to stay between its current price of $ 6.64  and $ 8.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.35 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TechnipFMC Plc will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0566, implying that it can generate a 0.0566 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 TechnipFMC Plc Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for TechnipFMC Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TechnipFMC Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TechnipFMC Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TechnipFMC Plc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.786.6310.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.728.5712.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.737.5811.44
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.1010.0313.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TechnipFMC Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TechnipFMC Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TechnipFMC Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in TechnipFMC Plc.

TechnipFMC Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TechnipFMC Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TechnipFMC Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TechnipFMC Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TechnipFMC Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.06
β
Beta against DOW1.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.0027

TechnipFMC Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TechnipFMC Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TechnipFMC Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TechnipFMC Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TechnipFMC Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.33 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (384.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 823.9 M.
TechnipFMC Plc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: TechnipFMC plc - How diversity, equity, and inclusion help drive innovation by empowering people to bring their whole selves to work - Marketscreener.com

TechnipFMC Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TechnipFMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TechnipFMC Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TechnipFMC Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.17%
Short Percent Of Float3.59%
Float Shares445.88M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.93M
Shares Short Prior Month14.32M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.64M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

TechnipFMC Plc Technical Analysis

TechnipFMC Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TechnipFMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TechnipFMC Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing TechnipFMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TechnipFMC Plc Predictive Forecast Models

TechnipFMC Plc time-series forecasting models is one of many TechnipFMC Plc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary TechnipFMC Plc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TechnipFMC Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about TechnipFMC Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TechnipFMC Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

TechnipFMC Plc Alerts

TechnipFMC Plc Alerts and Suggestions

TechnipFMC Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TechnipFMC Plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.33 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (384.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 823.9 M.
TechnipFMC Plc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: TechnipFMC plc - How diversity, equity, and inclusion help drive innovation by empowering people to bring their whole selves to work - Marketscreener.com
Please check TechnipFMC Plc Backtesting, TechnipFMC Plc Valuation, TechnipFMC Plc Correlation, TechnipFMC Plc Hype Analysis, TechnipFMC Plc Volatility, TechnipFMC Plc History as well as TechnipFMC Plc Performance. Note that the TechnipFMC Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TechnipFMC Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for TechnipFMC Stock analysis

When running TechnipFMC Plc price analysis, check to measure TechnipFMC Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TechnipFMC Plc is operating at the current time. Most of TechnipFMC Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TechnipFMC Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TechnipFMC Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TechnipFMC Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Go
Is TechnipFMC Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TechnipFMC Plc. If investors know TechnipFMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TechnipFMC Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.88
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.047
Return On Assets
0.005
Return On Equity
-0.1
The market value of TechnipFMC Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TechnipFMC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TechnipFMC Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TechnipFMC Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TechnipFMC Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TechnipFMC Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TechnipFMC Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine TechnipFMC Plc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TechnipFMC Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.