Farfetch Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.1

FTCH
 Stock
  

USD 7.92  0.62  8.49%   

Farfetch's future price is the expected price of Farfetch instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Farfetch Ltd Cl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Farfetch's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Farfetch Ltd Cl. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Farfetch based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Farfetch Ltd Cl over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $8.0 is a CALL option contract on Farfetch's common stock with a strick price of 8.0 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 0000-00-00 at 00:00:00 for $0.34 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.34, and an ask price of $0.37. The implied volatility as of the 27th of November is 92.5095. View All Farfetch options

Closest to current price Farfetch long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Farfetch Backtesting, Farfetch Valuation, Farfetch Correlation, Farfetch Hype Analysis, Farfetch Volatility, Farfetch History as well as Farfetch Performance. Please specify Farfetch time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Farfetch odds to be computed.

Farfetch Target Price Odds to finish below 0.1

The tendency of Farfetch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.10  or more in 90 days
 7.92 90 days 0.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farfetch to drop to $ 0.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Farfetch Ltd Cl probability density function shows the probability of Farfetch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Farfetch Ltd Cl price to stay between $ 0.10  and its current price of $7.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Farfetch will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Farfetch Ltd Cl is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Farfetch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farfetch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farfetch Ltd Cl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farfetch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Farfetch in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.497.9614.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.1318.3524.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.067.5314.00
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0050.2775.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farfetch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farfetch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farfetch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Farfetch Ltd Cl.

Farfetch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farfetch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farfetch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farfetch Ltd Cl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farfetch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.15
β
Beta against DOW1.92
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Farfetch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farfetch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farfetch Ltd Cl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farfetch Ltd Cl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farfetch Ltd Cl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Farfetch Ltd Cl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Farfetch Ltd Cl currently holds about 487.39 M in cash with (338.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.27.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Farfetch Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farfetch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farfetch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farfetch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.97%
Short Percent Of Float8.79%
Float Shares334.84M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day14.14M
Shares Short Prior Month24.28M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.18M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

Farfetch Technical Analysis

Farfetch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farfetch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farfetch Ltd Cl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farfetch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Farfetch Predictive Forecast Models

Farfetch time-series forecasting models is one of many Farfetch's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Farfetch's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Farfetch Ltd Cl

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farfetch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farfetch Ltd Cl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farfetch Ltd Cl generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farfetch Ltd Cl has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Farfetch Ltd Cl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Farfetch Ltd Cl currently holds about 487.39 M in cash with (338.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.27.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Please check Farfetch Backtesting, Farfetch Valuation, Farfetch Correlation, Farfetch Hype Analysis, Farfetch Volatility, Farfetch History as well as Farfetch Performance. Note that the Farfetch Ltd Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Farfetch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Farfetch Stock analysis

When running Farfetch Ltd Cl price analysis, check to measure Farfetch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farfetch is operating at the current time. Most of Farfetch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farfetch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farfetch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farfetch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farfetch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farfetch. If investors know Farfetch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farfetch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.019
Return On Assets
(0.09) 
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Farfetch Ltd Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farfetch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farfetch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farfetch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farfetch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farfetch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farfetch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Farfetch value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farfetch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.