Freedom Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.89


USD 61.85  0.83  1.36%   

Freedom Holding's future price is the expected price of Freedom Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Freedom Holding Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
Freedom Holding's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Freedom Holding Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Freedom Holding based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Freedom Holding Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $60.0 is a CALL option contract on Freedom Holding's common stock with a strick price of 60.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-06 at 09:32:28 for $2.9 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.7, and an ask price of $5.0. The implied volatility as of the 9th of December is 67.7581. View All Freedom options

Closest to current price Freedom long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Freedom Holding Backtesting, Freedom Holding Valuation, Freedom Holding Correlation, Freedom Holding Hype Analysis, Freedom Holding Volatility, Freedom Holding History as well as Freedom Holding Performance. Please specify Freedom Holding time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Freedom Holding odds to be computed.

Freedom Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 52.89

The tendency of Freedom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 52.89  or more in 90 days
 61.85 90 days 52.89 
about 22.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Freedom Holding to drop to $ 52.89  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.23 (This Freedom Holding Corp probability density function shows the probability of Freedom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Freedom Holding Corp price to stay between $ 52.89  and its current price of $61.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Freedom Holding will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1072, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Freedom Holding Price Density   

Predictive Modules for Freedom Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freedom Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freedom Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Freedom Holding in the context of predictive analytics.
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Freedom Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Freedom Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Freedom Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Freedom Holding Corp.

Freedom Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Freedom Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Freedom Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Freedom Holding Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Freedom Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite1.24
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.05

Freedom Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Freedom Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Freedom Holding Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Freedom Holding Corp currently holds about 2.15 B in cash with (347.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 36.11.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from Jon V. Rogers Joins Freedom Capital Markets -

Freedom Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Freedom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Freedom Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freedom Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59378207.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1829027000.00

Freedom Holding Technical Analysis

Freedom Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Freedom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Freedom Holding Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Freedom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Freedom Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Freedom Holding time-series forecasting models is one of many Freedom Holding's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Freedom Holding's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Freedom Holding Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Freedom Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Freedom Holding Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Freedom Holding Corp currently holds about 2.15 B in cash with (347.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 36.11.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from Jon V. Rogers Joins Freedom Capital Markets -
Please check Freedom Holding Backtesting, Freedom Holding Valuation, Freedom Holding Correlation, Freedom Holding Hype Analysis, Freedom Holding Volatility, Freedom Holding History as well as Freedom Holding Performance. Note that the Freedom Holding Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Freedom Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Freedom Stock analysis

When running Freedom Holding Corp price analysis, check to measure Freedom Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freedom Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Freedom Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freedom Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freedom Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freedom Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Freedom Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freedom Holding. If investors know Freedom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freedom Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Freedom Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freedom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freedom Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freedom Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freedom Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freedom Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freedom Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Freedom Holding value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freedom Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.