FREYR Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.25

FREY
 Stock
  

USD 11.25  0.81  6.72%   

FREYR Battery's future price is the expected price of FREYR Battery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FREYR Battery SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
FREYR Battery's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on FREYR Battery SA. Implied volatility approximates the future value of FREYR Battery based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in FREYR Battery SA over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $11.0 is a CALL option contract on FREYR Battery's common stock with a strick price of 11.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-06 at 13:31:32 for $0.76 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $0.95. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 74.772. View All FREYR options

Closest to current price FREYR long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check FREYR Battery Backtesting, FREYR Battery Valuation, FREYR Battery Correlation, FREYR Battery Hype Analysis, FREYR Battery Volatility, FREYR Battery History as well as FREYR Battery Performance. Please specify FREYR Battery time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FREYR Battery odds to be computed.

FREYR Battery Target Price Odds to finish over 11.25

The tendency of FREYR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.25 90 days 11.25 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FREYR Battery to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This FREYR Battery SA probability density function shows the probability of FREYR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FREYR Battery will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. FREYR Battery SA is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   FREYR Battery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FREYR Battery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FREYR Battery SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FREYR Battery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FREYR Battery in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.5811.5716.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.7213.7118.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.549.5314.52
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0016.7420.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FREYR Battery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FREYR Battery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FREYR Battery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FREYR Battery SA.

FREYR Battery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FREYR Battery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FREYR Battery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FREYR Battery SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FREYR Battery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.0008

FREYR Battery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FREYR Battery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FREYR Battery SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FREYR Battery SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FREYR Battery SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (93.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
FREYR Battery SA currently holds about 484.2 M in cash with (63.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.15.
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amprius Technologies Stock Leaving It On The Watch List - Seeking Alpha

FREYR Battery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FREYR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FREYR Battery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FREYR Battery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75362870.00
Cash And Short Term Investments563956000.00

FREYR Battery Technical Analysis

FREYR Battery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FREYR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FREYR Battery SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing FREYR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FREYR Battery Predictive Forecast Models

FREYR Battery time-series forecasting models is one of many FREYR Battery's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FREYR Battery's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FREYR Battery SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about FREYR Battery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FREYR Battery SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FREYR Battery SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FREYR Battery SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (93.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
FREYR Battery SA currently holds about 484.2 M in cash with (63.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.15.
Roughly 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Amprius Technologies Stock Leaving It On The Watch List - Seeking Alpha
Please check FREYR Battery Backtesting, FREYR Battery Valuation, FREYR Battery Correlation, FREYR Battery Hype Analysis, FREYR Battery Volatility, FREYR Battery History as well as FREYR Battery Performance. Note that the FREYR Battery SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FREYR Battery's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for FREYR Stock analysis

When running FREYR Battery SA price analysis, check to measure FREYR Battery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FREYR Battery is operating at the current time. Most of FREYR Battery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FREYR Battery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FREYR Battery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FREYR Battery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FREYR Battery's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FREYR Battery. If investors know FREYR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FREYR Battery listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Return On Assets
(0.11) 
Return On Equity
(0.31) 
The market value of FREYR Battery SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FREYR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FREYR Battery's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FREYR Battery's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FREYR Battery's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FREYR Battery's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FREYR Battery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FREYR Battery value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FREYR Battery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.