Fifth Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.57

FITBP -  USA Stock  

USD 24.57  0.15  0.61%

Fifth Third's future price is the expected price of Fifth Third instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fifth Third Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Please check Fifth Third Backtesting, Fifth Third Valuation, Fifth Third Correlation, Fifth Third Hype Analysis, Fifth Third Volatility, Fifth Third History as well as Fifth Third Performance. Please specify Fifth Third time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Fifth Third odds to be computed.
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Fifth Third Target Price Odds to finish over 24.57

The tendency of Fifth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.57 90 days 24.57  about 87.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fifth Third to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.42 (This Fifth Third Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Fifth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fifth Third has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fifth Third average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fifth Third Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Fifth Third Bancorp is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Fifth Third Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Fifth Third

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fifth Third Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fifth Third's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fifth Third in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.6124.5825.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.7724.7325.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.3024.2725.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0424.8525.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fifth Third. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fifth Third's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fifth Third's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fifth Third Bancorp.

Fifth Third Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fifth Third is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fifth Third's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fifth Third Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fifth Third within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.01
β
Beta against DOW0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Fifth Third Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fifth Third for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fifth Third Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fifth Third Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fifth Third Bancorp has accumulated about 3.37 B in cash with (282 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.92.
Latest headline from www.prnewswire.com: US Bank, KeyBanc Capital Markets, and Fifth Third Securities Join DirectBooks - PR Newswire

Fifth Third Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fifth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fifth Third's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fifth Third's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.11
Float Shares682.76M
Shares Short Prior Month1.96k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.96k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.2k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.49%

Fifth Third Technical Analysis

Fifth Third's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fifth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fifth Third Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fifth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fifth Third Predictive Forecast Models

Fifth Third time-series forecasting models is one of many Fifth Third's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Fifth Third's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fifth Third Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fifth Third for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fifth Third Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Fifth Third Alerts

Fifth Third Alerts and Suggestions

Fifth Third Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fifth Third Bancorp has accumulated about 3.37 B in cash with (282 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.92.
Latest headline from www.prnewswire.com: US Bank, KeyBanc Capital Markets, and Fifth Third Securities Join DirectBooks - PR Newswire
Please check Fifth Third Backtesting, Fifth Third Valuation, Fifth Third Correlation, Fifth Third Hype Analysis, Fifth Third Volatility, Fifth Third History as well as Fifth Third Performance. Note that the Fifth Third Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fifth Third's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Fifth Third Bancorp price analysis, check to measure Fifth Third's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fifth Third is operating at the current time. Most of Fifth Third's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fifth Third's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fifth Third's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fifth Third to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fifth Third's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fifth Third. If investors know Fifth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fifth Third listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.27
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.14
Return On Assets
0.0123
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Fifth Third Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fifth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fifth Third's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fifth Third's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fifth Third's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fifth Third's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fifth Third's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fifth Third value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fifth Third's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.