Fidelity Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.94

FFVFX
 Fund
  

USD 11.19  0.07  0.62%   

Fidelity Freedom's future price is the expected price of Fidelity Freedom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fidelity Freedom 2015 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Fidelity Freedom Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Freedom Correlation, Fidelity Freedom Hype Analysis, Fidelity Freedom Volatility, Fidelity Freedom History as well as Fidelity Freedom Performance. Please specify Fidelity Freedom time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Fidelity Freedom odds to be computed.

Fidelity Freedom Target Price Odds to finish over 11.94

The tendency of Fidelity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.94  or more in 90 days
 11.19 90 days 11.94 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Freedom to move over $ 11.94  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fidelity Freedom 2015 probability density function shows the probability of Fidelity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fidelity Freedom 2015 price to stay between its current price of $ 11.19  and $ 11.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Freedom has a beta of 0.52. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fidelity Freedom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fidelity Freedom 2015 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Fidelity Freedom 2015 is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Fidelity Freedom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fidelity Freedom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Freedom 2015. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Freedom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fidelity Freedom in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.5111.1911.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.4511.1311.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fidelity Freedom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fidelity Freedom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fidelity Freedom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fidelity Freedom 2015.

Fidelity Freedom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Freedom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Freedom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Freedom 2015, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Freedom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.03
β
Beta against DOW0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Fidelity Freedom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Freedom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Freedom 2015 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fidelity Freedom is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains about 15.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Fidelity Freedom Technical Analysis

Fidelity Freedom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fidelity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Freedom 2015. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fidelity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fidelity Freedom Predictive Forecast Models

Fidelity Freedom time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Freedom's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Fidelity Freedom's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fidelity Freedom 2015

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Freedom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Freedom 2015 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Fidelity Freedom Alerts

Fidelity Freedom Alerts and Suggestions

Fidelity Freedom is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains about 15.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please check Fidelity Freedom Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fidelity Freedom Correlation, Fidelity Freedom Hype Analysis, Fidelity Freedom Volatility, Fidelity Freedom History as well as Fidelity Freedom Performance. Note that the Fidelity Freedom 2015 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fidelity Freedom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Fidelity Mutual Fund analysis

When running Fidelity Freedom 2015 price analysis, check to measure Fidelity Freedom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fidelity Freedom is operating at the current time. Most of Fidelity Freedom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fidelity Freedom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fidelity Freedom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fidelity Freedom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Freedom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fidelity Freedom value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Freedom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.