Meta Platforms Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 360.21

FB -  USA Stock  

USD 193.54  2.25  1.18%

Meta Platforms' future price is the expected price of Meta Platforms instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Meta Platforms performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Meta Platforms Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Earnings Ratio were at 24.04. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 9.14, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 6.58.
Meta Platforms' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Meta Platforms. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Meta Platforms based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Meta Platforms over a specific time period. For example, 2022-05-27 CALL at $192.5 is a CALL option contract on Meta Platforms' common stock with a strick price of 192.5 expiring on 2022-05-27. The contract was last traded on 2022-05-20 at 15:59:46 for $5.8 and, as of today, has 6 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $5.75, and an ask price of $6.0. The implied volatility as of the 21st of May is 49.372. View All Meta Platforms options

Closest to current price Meta Platforms long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Meta Platforms Backtesting, Meta Platforms Valuation, Meta Platforms Correlation, Meta Platforms Hype Analysis, Meta Platforms Volatility, Meta Platforms History as well as Meta Platforms Performance. Please specify Meta Platforms time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Meta Platforms odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Meta Platforms Target Price Odds to finish below 360.21

The tendency of Meta Platforms Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 360.21  after 90 days
 193.54 90 days 360.21  close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meta Platforms to stay under $ 360.21  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Meta Platforms probability density function shows the probability of Meta Platforms Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meta Platforms price to stay between its current price of $ 193.54  and $ 360.21  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.28 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.98 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Meta Platforms will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.224, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Meta Platforms Price Density 

Predictive Modules for Meta Platforms

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta Platforms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meta Platforms' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Meta Platforms in the context of predictive analytics.
LowEstimated ValueHigh
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
28 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Meta Platforms. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Meta Platforms' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Meta Platforms' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Meta Platforms.

Meta Platforms Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meta Platforms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meta Platforms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meta Platforms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meta Platforms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW1.98
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.015385

Meta Platforms Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meta Platforms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meta Platforms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meta Platforms has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Meta Platforms is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from GRAPHIC-Bear market beckons as US stock slide deepens - Nasdaq

Meta Platforms Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meta Platforms Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meta Platforms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta Platforms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.11%
Short Percent Of Float1.31%
Float Shares2.26B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day31.65M
Shares Short Prior Month30.17M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month33.79M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Meta Platforms Technical Analysis

Meta Platforms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meta Platforms Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meta Platforms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meta Platforms Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Meta Platforms Predictive Forecast Models

Meta Platforms time-series forecasting models is one of many Meta Platforms' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Meta Platforms' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Meta Platforms

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meta Platforms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meta Platforms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Meta Platforms Alerts

Meta Platforms Alerts and Suggestions

Meta Platforms has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Meta Platforms is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from GRAPHIC-Bear market beckons as US stock slide deepens - Nasdaq
Please check Meta Platforms Backtesting, Meta Platforms Valuation, Meta Platforms Correlation, Meta Platforms Hype Analysis, Meta Platforms Volatility, Meta Platforms History as well as Meta Platforms Performance. Note that the Meta Platforms information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Meta Platforms' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Meta Platforms Stock analysis

When running Meta Platforms price analysis, check to measure Meta Platforms' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meta Platforms is operating at the current time. Most of Meta Platforms' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meta Platforms' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meta Platforms' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meta Platforms to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Is Meta Platforms' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Meta Platforms. If investors know Meta Platforms will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Meta Platforms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Meta Platforms is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Meta Platforms that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Meta Platforms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Meta Platforms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Meta Platforms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Meta Platforms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Meta Platforms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Meta Platforms value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Meta Platforms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.