Equity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 88.06

EQR -  USA Stock  

USD 76.24  0.02  0.0262%

Equity Residential's future price is the expected price of Equity Residential instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equity Residential performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 05/26/2022, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 28.53, while Price to Book Value is likely to drop 3.08.
  
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Equity Residential's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Equity Residential. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Equity Residential based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Equity Residential over a specific time period. For example, 2022-06-17 CALL at $75.0 is a CALL option contract on Equity Residential's common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2022-06-17. The contract was last traded on 2022-05-23 at 12:35:23 for $2.5 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.8, and an ask price of $3.2. The implied volatility as of the 26th of May is 31.8024. View All Equity options

Closest to current price Equity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Equity Residential Backtesting, Equity Residential Valuation, Equity Residential Correlation, Equity Residential Hype Analysis, Equity Residential Volatility, Equity Residential History as well as Equity Residential Performance. Please specify Equity Residential time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Equity Residential odds to be computed.
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Equity Residential Target Price Odds to finish over 88.06

The tendency of Equity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 88.06  or more in 90 days
 76.24 90 days 88.06  about 30.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Residential to move over $ 88.06  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.71 (This Equity Residential probability density function shows the probability of Equity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity Residential price to stay between its current price of $ 76.24  and $ 88.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.82 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Equity Residential has a beta of 0.86 suggesting Equity Residential market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Equity Residential is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Equity Residential is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Equity Residential Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Equity Residential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Equity Residential in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
74.4676.1777.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
68.2484.0985.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
80.3182.0283.73
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
66.0088.68100.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Equity Residential. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Equity Residential's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Equity Residential's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Equity Residential.

Equity Residential Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Residential, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.08
β
Beta against DOW0.86
σ
Overall volatility
6.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Equity Residential Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equity Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 8.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.73, which is OK given its current industry classification. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.23, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Equity Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity Residential sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 94.0% of Equity Residential shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Equity Residential Price Target Cut to 78.50 by Analysts at Morgan Stanley - Defense World

Equity Residential Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equity Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.32%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.41
Short Percent Of Float1.81%
Float Shares369.4M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.94M
Shares Short Prior Month4.33M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.6M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.29%

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Equity Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Residential. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equity Residential Predictive Forecast Models

Equity Residential time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Residential's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Equity Residential's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equity Residential

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Equity Residential Alerts

Equity Residential Alerts and Suggestions

Equity Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 8.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.73, which is OK given its current industry classification. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.23, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Equity Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity Residential sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 94.0% of Equity Residential shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Equity Residential Price Target Cut to 78.50 by Analysts at Morgan Stanley - Defense World
Continue to Equity Residential Backtesting, Equity Residential Valuation, Equity Residential Correlation, Equity Residential Hype Analysis, Equity Residential Volatility, Equity Residential History as well as Equity Residential Performance. Note that the Equity Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Equity Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Equity Stock analysis

When running Equity Residential price analysis, check to measure Equity Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Equity Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Residential. If investors know Equity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equity Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Equity Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equity Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equity Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equity Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equity Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Equity Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.