Enerpac Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.03

EPAC
 Stock
  

USD 25.03  0.06  0.24%   

Enerpac Tool's future price is the expected price of Enerpac Tool instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Enerpac Tool Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 47.14, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 3.91.
  
Enerpac Tool's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Enerpac Tool Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Enerpac Tool based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Enerpac Tool Group over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Enerpac Tool's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-09 at 11:52:53 for $2.45 and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $1.25. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of December is 34.4776. View All Enerpac options

Closest to current price Enerpac long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Enerpac Tool Backtesting, Enerpac Tool Valuation, Enerpac Tool Correlation, Enerpac Tool Hype Analysis, Enerpac Tool Volatility, Enerpac Tool History as well as Enerpac Tool Performance. Please specify Enerpac Tool time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Enerpac Tool odds to be computed.

Enerpac Tool Target Price Odds to finish over 25.03

The tendency of Enerpac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.03 90 days 25.03 
about 18.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enerpac Tool to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.14 (This Enerpac Tool Group probability density function shows the probability of Enerpac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Enerpac Tool has a beta of 0.84 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Enerpac Tool average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Enerpac Tool Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2824, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Enerpac Tool Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Enerpac Tool

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enerpac Tool Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enerpac Tool's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Enerpac Tool in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
21.6924.1626.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.7325.2027.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.6525.1227.59
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0023.4032.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Enerpac Tool. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Enerpac Tool's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Enerpac Tool's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Enerpac Tool Group.

Enerpac Tool Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enerpac Tool is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enerpac Tool's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enerpac Tool Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enerpac Tool within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.84
σ
Overall volatility
3.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Enerpac Tool Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enerpac Tool for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enerpac Tool Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enerpac Tool Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of October 2022 Enerpac Tool paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Enerpac Tool Group Corp.s Stock Is Going Strong Have Financials A Role To Play - Simply Wall St

Enerpac Tool Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enerpac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enerpac Tool's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enerpac Tool's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59909000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments120699000.00

Enerpac Tool Technical Analysis

Enerpac Tool's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enerpac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enerpac Tool Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enerpac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Enerpac Tool Predictive Forecast Models

Enerpac Tool time-series forecasting models is one of many Enerpac Tool's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Enerpac Tool's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Enerpac Tool Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Enerpac Tool for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enerpac Tool Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enerpac Tool Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of October 2022 Enerpac Tool paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Enerpac Tool Group Corp.s Stock Is Going Strong Have Financials A Role To Play - Simply Wall St
Continue to Enerpac Tool Backtesting, Enerpac Tool Valuation, Enerpac Tool Correlation, Enerpac Tool Hype Analysis, Enerpac Tool Volatility, Enerpac Tool History as well as Enerpac Tool Performance. Note that the Enerpac Tool Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Enerpac Tool's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Screener module to find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Complementary Tools for Enerpac Stock analysis

When running Enerpac Tool Group price analysis, check to measure Enerpac Tool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enerpac Tool is operating at the current time. Most of Enerpac Tool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enerpac Tool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enerpac Tool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enerpac Tool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Enerpac Tool's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Enerpac Tool. If investors know Enerpac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Enerpac Tool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.99
Market Capitalization
1.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.044
Return On Assets
0.0432
Return On Equity
0.0536
The market value of Enerpac Tool Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Enerpac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Enerpac Tool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Enerpac Tool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Enerpac Tool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Enerpac Tool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Enerpac Tool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Enerpac Tool value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Enerpac Tool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.