Extended Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 79.27

EDV
 Etf
  

USD 86.71  1.62  1.83%   

Extended Dur's future price is the expected price of Extended Dur instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Extended Dur Trs performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Extended Dur's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Extended Dur Trs. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Extended Dur based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Extended Dur Trs over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $87.0 is a CALL option contract on Extended Dur's common stock with a strick price of 87.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-29 at 13:28:47 for $2.8 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.8, and an ask price of $2.6. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of October is 28.9145. View All Extended options

Closest to current price Extended long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Extended Dur Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Extended Dur Correlation, Extended Dur Hype Analysis, Extended Dur Volatility, Extended Dur History as well as Extended Dur Performance. Please specify Extended Dur time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Extended Dur odds to be computed.

Extended Dur Target Price Odds to finish below 79.27

The tendency of Extended Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 79.27  or more in 90 days
 86.71 90 days 79.27 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Extended Dur to drop to $ 79.27  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Extended Dur Trs probability density function shows the probability of Extended Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Extended Dur Trs price to stay between $ 79.27  and its current price of $86.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Extended Dur has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Extended Dur average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Extended Dur Trs will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Extended Dur Trs is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Extended Dur Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Extended Dur

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Extended Dur Trs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Extended Dur's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Extended Dur in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
85.0386.7188.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
71.7373.4195.38
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0042.0042.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Extended Dur. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Extended Dur's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Extended Dur's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Extended Dur Trs.

Extended Dur Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Extended Dur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Extended Dur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Extended Dur Trs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Extended Dur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.19
σ
Overall volatility
4.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Extended Dur Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Extended Dur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Extended Dur Trs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Extended Dur Trs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Extended Dur Trs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Extended Dur Trs retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Extended Dur Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Extended Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Extended Dur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Extended Dur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day400.4k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month270.2k

Extended Dur Technical Analysis

Extended Dur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Extended Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Extended Dur Trs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Extended Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Extended Dur Predictive Forecast Models

Extended Dur time-series forecasting models is one of many Extended Dur's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Extended Dur's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Extended Dur Trs

Checking the ongoing alerts about Extended Dur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Extended Dur Trs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Extended Dur Trs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Extended Dur Trs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Extended Dur Trs retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
Continue to Extended Dur Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Extended Dur Correlation, Extended Dur Hype Analysis, Extended Dur Volatility, Extended Dur History as well as Extended Dur Performance. Note that the Extended Dur Trs information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Extended Dur's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for Extended Etf analysis

When running Extended Dur Trs price analysis, check to measure Extended Dur's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Extended Dur is operating at the current time. Most of Extended Dur's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Extended Dur's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Extended Dur's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Extended Dur to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Extended Dur Trs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Extended that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Extended Dur's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Extended Dur's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Extended Dur's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Extended Dur's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Extended Dur's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Extended Dur value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Extended Dur's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.