Ecolab Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 149.83

ECL
 Stock
  

USD 149.83  4.92  3.40%   

Ecolab's future price is the expected price of Ecolab instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ecolab Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to hike to 64.08 this year, although Price to Book Value will most likely fall to 8.08.
  
Ecolab's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ecolab Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ecolab based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ecolab Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $150.0 is a CALL option contract on Ecolab's common stock with a strick price of 150.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-30 at 13:30:06 for $1.55 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.2, and an ask price of $4.3. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 31.051. View All Ecolab options

Closest to current price Ecolab long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Ecolab Backtesting, Ecolab Valuation, Ecolab Correlation, Ecolab Hype Analysis, Ecolab Volatility, Ecolab History as well as Ecolab Performance. Please specify Ecolab time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ecolab odds to be computed.

Ecolab Target Price Odds to finish over 149.83

The tendency of Ecolab Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 149.83 90 days 149.83 
about 55.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecolab to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.57 (This Ecolab Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ecolab Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ecolab will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Ecolab Inc is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Ecolab Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ecolab

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecolab Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecolab's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ecolab in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
147.34150.03152.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
134.85191.06193.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
147.93150.61153.30
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
126.00230.73260.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecolab. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecolab's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecolab's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ecolab Inc.

Ecolab Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecolab is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecolab's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecolab Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecolab within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.38
σ
Overall volatility
9.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Ecolab Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecolab for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecolab Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecolab Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ecolab Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of October 2022 Ecolab paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Buying The Ecolab Inc. Independent Director Just Bought 7.3 percent More Shares - Simply Wall St

Ecolab Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecolab Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecolab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecolab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289100000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments359900000.00

Ecolab Technical Analysis

Ecolab's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ecolab Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ecolab Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ecolab Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ecolab Predictive Forecast Models

Ecolab time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecolab's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ecolab's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ecolab Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecolab for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecolab Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecolab Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ecolab Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of October 2022 Ecolab paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Buying The Ecolab Inc. Independent Director Just Bought 7.3 percent More Shares - Simply Wall St
Continue to Ecolab Backtesting, Ecolab Valuation, Ecolab Correlation, Ecolab Hype Analysis, Ecolab Volatility, Ecolab History as well as Ecolab Performance. Note that the Ecolab Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ecolab's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Ecolab Stock analysis

When running Ecolab Inc price analysis, check to measure Ecolab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ecolab is operating at the current time. Most of Ecolab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ecolab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ecolab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ecolab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ecolab's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecolab. If investors know Ecolab will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecolab listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.08
Market Capitalization
41.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0583
Return On Equity
16.12
The market value of Ecolab Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecolab that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecolab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecolab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecolab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecolab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecolab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ecolab value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecolab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.