EBay Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.56

EBAY -  USA Stock  

USD 56.40  0.30  0.53%

EBay's future price is the expected price of EBay instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EBay Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to rise to 12.07 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 5.82 in 2022.

EBay Price Probability 

 
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EBay's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on EBay Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of EBay based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in EBay Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-01-28 CALL at $56.0 is a CALL option contract on EBay's common stock with a strick price of 56.0 expiring on 2022-01-28. The contract was last traded on 2022-01-27 at 15:48:04 for $1.27 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.1, and an ask price of $1.33. The implied volatility as of the 28th of January is 74.5325. View All EBay options

Closest to current price EBay long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to EBay Backtesting, EBay Valuation, EBay Correlation, EBay Hype Analysis, EBay Volatility, EBay History as well as EBay Performance. Please specify EBay time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like EBay odds to be computed.
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EBay Target Price Odds to finish below 64.56

The tendency of EBay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 64.56  after 90 days
 56.40 90 days 64.56  about 24.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EBay to stay under $ 64.56  after 90 days from now is about 24.83 (This EBay Inc probability density function shows the probability of EBay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EBay Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 56.40  and $ 64.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days EBay has a beta of 0.42 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EBay average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EBay Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. EBay Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
 EBay Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for EBay

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EBay Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EBay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EBay in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
55.2856.8858.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
51.0362.4864.08
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.0075.6391.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (9)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.283.343.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EBay. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EBay's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EBay's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EBay Inc.

EBay Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EBay is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EBay's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EBay Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EBay within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.49
β
Beta against DOW0.42
σ
Overall volatility
5.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

EBay Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EBay for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EBay Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EBay Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 786 shares by Doerger Brian J of EBay subject to Rule 16b-3

EBay Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EBay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EBay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EBay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.47%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.70
Short Percent Of Float4.48%
Float Shares600.78M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.38M
Shares Short Prior Month34.98M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.59M
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.20%

EBay Technical Analysis

EBay's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EBay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EBay Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing EBay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EBay Predictive Forecast Models

EBay time-series forecasting models is one of many EBay's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary EBay's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EBay Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about EBay for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EBay Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

EBay Alerts

EBay Alerts and Suggestions

EBay Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 786 shares by Doerger Brian J of EBay subject to Rule 16b-3
Continue to EBay Backtesting, EBay Valuation, EBay Correlation, EBay Hype Analysis, EBay Volatility, EBay History as well as EBay Performance. Note that the EBay Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EBay's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for EBay Stock analysis

When running EBay Inc price analysis, check to measure EBay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EBay is operating at the current time. Most of EBay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EBay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EBay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EBay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is EBay's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EBay. If investors know EBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EBay listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EBay Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EBay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EBay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EBay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EBay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EBay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EBay value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EBay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.