Daqo New Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.65

DQ
 Stock
  

USD 51.65  3.60  6.52%   

Daqo New's future price is the expected price of Daqo New instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daqo New Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Daqo New's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Daqo New Energy. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Daqo New based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Daqo New Energy over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $50.0 is a CALL option contract on Daqo New's common stock with a strick price of 50.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-05 at 13:45:51 for $6.5 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $6.6, and an ask price of $7.2. The implied volatility as of the 6th of October is 85.843. View All Daqo New options

Closest to current price Daqo New long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Daqo New Backtesting, Daqo New Valuation, Daqo New Correlation, Daqo New Hype Analysis, Daqo New Volatility, Daqo New History as well as Daqo New Performance. Please specify Daqo New time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Daqo New odds to be computed.

Daqo New Target Price Odds to finish over 51.65

The tendency of Daqo New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.65 90 days 51.65 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daqo New to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Daqo New Energy probability density function shows the probability of Daqo New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Daqo New has a beta of 0.77 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Daqo New average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Daqo New Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Daqo New Energy is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Daqo New Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daqo New

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daqo New Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Daqo New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Daqo New in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
48.3352.2656.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
47.4064.5768.50
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
44.0078.68139.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daqo New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daqo New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daqo New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Daqo New Energy.

Daqo New Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daqo New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daqo New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daqo New Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daqo New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.27
β
Beta against DOW0.77
σ
Overall volatility
6.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Daqo New Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daqo New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daqo New Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daqo New Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Daqo New Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Daqo New Energy It Pays To Be Patient - Now We Turn Bullish - Seeking Alpha

Daqo New Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daqo New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daqo New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daqo New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.59%
Float Shares57.18M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.46M
Shares Short Prior Month2.24M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.61M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Daqo New Technical Analysis

Daqo New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daqo New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daqo New Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daqo New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daqo New Predictive Forecast Models

Daqo New time-series forecasting models is one of many Daqo New's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Daqo New's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Daqo New Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Daqo New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daqo New Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daqo New Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Daqo New Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Daqo New Energy It Pays To Be Patient - Now We Turn Bullish - Seeking Alpha
Continue to Daqo New Backtesting, Daqo New Valuation, Daqo New Correlation, Daqo New Hype Analysis, Daqo New Volatility, Daqo New History as well as Daqo New Performance. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Daqo New Energy price analysis, check to measure Daqo New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daqo New is operating at the current time. Most of Daqo New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daqo New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daqo New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daqo New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Daqo New's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Daqo New. If investors know Daqo New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Daqo New listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Daqo New Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Daqo New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Daqo New's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Daqo New's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Daqo New's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Daqo New's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Daqo New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Daqo New value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Daqo New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.