Amdocs Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 84.88

DOX
 Stock
  

USD 88.95  1.36  1.55%   

Amdocs' future price is the expected price of Amdocs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amdocs Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 18.95 in 2022, whereas Price to Book Value is likely to drop 3.03 in 2022.
  
Amdocs' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Amdocs Limited. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Amdocs based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Amdocs Limited over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $90.0 is a CALL option contract on Amdocs' common stock with a strick price of 90.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-12 at 14:22:05 for $0.32 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $1.9. The implied volatility as of the 13th of August 2022 is 14.6595. View All Amdocs options

Closest to current price Amdocs long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Amdocs Backtesting, Amdocs Valuation, Amdocs Correlation, Amdocs Hype Analysis, Amdocs Volatility, Amdocs History as well as Amdocs Performance. Please specify Amdocs time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Amdocs odds to be computed.

Amdocs Target Price Odds to finish over 84.88

The tendency of Amdocs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 84.88  in 90 days
 88.95 90 days 84.88 
about 37.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amdocs to stay above $ 84.88  in 90 days from now is about 37.24 (This Amdocs Limited probability density function shows the probability of Amdocs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amdocs Limited price to stay between $ 84.88  and its current price of $88.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.83 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Amdocs has a beta of 0.78 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Amdocs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amdocs Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1549, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Amdocs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amdocs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amdocs Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amdocs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amdocs in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
87.3388.6890.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
80.0694.7696.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
89.4090.7592.10
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
78.0088.2099.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amdocs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amdocs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amdocs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amdocs Limited.

Amdocs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amdocs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amdocs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amdocs Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amdocs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Amdocs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amdocs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amdocs Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of July 2022 Amdocs paid $ 0.395 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: An Intrinsic Calculation For Amdocs Limited Suggests Its 49 percent Undervalued - Simply Wall St

Amdocs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amdocs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amdocs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amdocs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date29th of June 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out1.23%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.51
Short Percent Of Float1.44%
Float Shares120.16M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day667.09k
Shares Short Prior Month1.35M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month702.62k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Amdocs Technical Analysis

Amdocs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amdocs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amdocs Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amdocs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amdocs Predictive Forecast Models

Amdocs time-series forecasting models is one of many Amdocs' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Amdocs' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amdocs Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amdocs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amdocs Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Amdocs Alerts

Amdocs Alerts and Suggestions

Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 29th of July 2022 Amdocs paid $ 0.395 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: An Intrinsic Calculation For Amdocs Limited Suggests Its 49 percent Undervalued - Simply Wall St
Continue to Amdocs Backtesting, Amdocs Valuation, Amdocs Correlation, Amdocs Hype Analysis, Amdocs Volatility, Amdocs History as well as Amdocs Performance. Note that the Amdocs Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amdocs' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Amdocs Stock analysis

When running Amdocs Limited price analysis, check to measure Amdocs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amdocs is operating at the current time. Most of Amdocs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amdocs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amdocs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amdocs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Amdocs' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amdocs. If investors know Amdocs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amdocs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.089
Market Capitalization
10.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.088
Return On Assets
0.0605
Return On Equity
0.15
The market value of Amdocs Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amdocs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amdocs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amdocs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amdocs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amdocs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amdocs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amdocs value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amdocs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.