Definitive Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.49

DH
 Stock
  

USD 12.33  0.08  0.65%   

Definitive Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Definitive Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Definitive Healthcare Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is estimated to decrease to 4.15. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to decrease to -139.68.
  
Definitive Healthcare's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Definitive Healthcare Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Definitive Healthcare based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Definitive Healthcare Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Definitive Healthcare's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 14:10:22 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 7th of December is 83.7854. View All Definitive options

Closest to current price Definitive long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Definitive Healthcare Backtesting, Definitive Healthcare Valuation, Definitive Healthcare Correlation, Definitive Healthcare Hype Analysis, Definitive Healthcare Volatility, Definitive Healthcare History as well as Definitive Healthcare Performance. Please specify Definitive Healthcare time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Definitive Healthcare odds to be computed.

Definitive Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 16.49

The tendency of Definitive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 16.49  after 90 days
 12.33 90 days 16.49 
about 71.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Definitive Healthcare to stay under $ 16.49  after 90 days from now is about 71.39 (This Definitive Healthcare Corp probability density function shows the probability of Definitive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Definitive Healthcare price to stay between its current price of $ 12.33  and $ 16.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.19 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Definitive Healthcare will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Definitive Healthcare is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Definitive Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Definitive Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Definitive Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Definitive Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Definitive Healthcare in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.1212.0116.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.4919.8024.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.5013.3918.27
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
36.0044.8850.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Definitive Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Definitive Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Definitive Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Definitive Healthcare.

Definitive Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Definitive Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Definitive Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Definitive Healthcare Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Definitive Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.71
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Definitive Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Definitive Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Definitive Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Definitive Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Definitive Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 166.15 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (51.02 M) with gross profit of 146.73 M.
Definitive Healthcare has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Revolution Healthcare Acquisition Corp. Will Redeem Public Shares - Yahoo Finance

Definitive Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Definitive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Definitive Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Definitive Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87519184.00
Cash And Short Term Investments387498000.00

Definitive Healthcare Technical Analysis

Definitive Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Definitive Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Definitive Healthcare Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Definitive Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Definitive Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Definitive Healthcare time-series forecasting models is one of many Definitive Healthcare's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Definitive Healthcare's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Definitive Healthcare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Definitive Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Definitive Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Definitive Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Definitive Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 166.15 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (51.02 M) with gross profit of 146.73 M.
Definitive Healthcare has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Revolution Healthcare Acquisition Corp. Will Redeem Public Shares - Yahoo Finance
Continue to Definitive Healthcare Backtesting, Definitive Healthcare Valuation, Definitive Healthcare Correlation, Definitive Healthcare Hype Analysis, Definitive Healthcare Volatility, Definitive Healthcare History as well as Definitive Healthcare Performance. Note that the Definitive Healthcare information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Definitive Healthcare's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Definitive Stock analysis

When running Definitive Healthcare price analysis, check to measure Definitive Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Definitive Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Definitive Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Definitive Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Definitive Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Definitive Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Definitive Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Definitive Healthcare. If investors know Definitive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Definitive Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.332
Return On Assets
(0.0108) 
Return On Equity
(0.0317) 
The market value of Definitive Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Definitive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Definitive Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Definitive Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Definitive Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Definitive Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Definitive Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Definitive Healthcare value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Definitive Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.