Dunham Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.75

DCREX
 Fund
  

USD 11.75  0.50  4.44%   

Dunham Real's future price is the expected price of Dunham Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dunham Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Dunham Real Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dunham Real Correlation, Dunham Real Hype Analysis, Dunham Real Volatility, Dunham Real History as well as Dunham Real Performance. Please specify Dunham Real time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Dunham Real odds to be computed.

Dunham Real Target Price Odds to finish over 11.75

The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.75 90 days 11.75 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Dunham Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Real has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dunham Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dunham Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Dunham Real Estate is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Dunham Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dunham Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Dunham Real in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.1411.7513.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.4112.0213.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dunham Real. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dunham Real's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dunham Real's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Dunham Real Estate.

Dunham Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.2
β
Beta against DOW0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Dunham Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dunham Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 98.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Dunham Real Technical Analysis

Dunham Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dunham Real Predictive Forecast Models

Dunham Real time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham Real's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Dunham Real's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dunham Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dunham Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 98.3% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Continue to Dunham Real Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dunham Real Correlation, Dunham Real Hype Analysis, Dunham Real Volatility, Dunham Real History as well as Dunham Real Performance. Note that the Dunham Real Estate information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dunham Real's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for Dunham Mutual Fund analysis

When running Dunham Real Estate price analysis, check to measure Dunham Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dunham Real is operating at the current time. Most of Dunham Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dunham Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dunham Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dunham Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dunham Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Dunham Real value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dunham Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.