Decred Chance of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Over 25.65

DCR
 Crypto
  

USD 25.65  0.50  1.99%   

Decred's future price is the expected price of Decred instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Decred performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Decred Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Decred Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Decred Volatility, Decred History as well as Decred Performance. Please specify Decred time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Decred odds to be computed.

Decred Target Price Odds to finish over 25.65

The tendency of Decred Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.65 90 days 25.65 
about 65.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Decred to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.64 (This Decred probability density function shows the probability of Decred Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Decred has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Decred average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Decred will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.841, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Decred Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Decred

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Decred. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Decred's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Decred in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.1325.6539.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.1024.6238.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.1822.7136.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.0327.7832.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Decred. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Decred's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Decred's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Decred.

Decred Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Decred is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Decred's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Decred, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Decred within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.84
β
Beta against DOW0.20
σ
Overall volatility
5.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Decred Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Decred for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Decred can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Decred is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Decred appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Decred Technical Analysis

Decred's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Decred Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Decred. In general, you should focus on analyzing Decred Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Decred Predictive Forecast Models

Decred time-series forecasting models is one of many Decred's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Decred's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Decred

Checking the ongoing alerts about Decred for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Decred help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Decred is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Decred appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Continue to Decred Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Decred Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Decred Volatility, Decred History as well as Decred Performance. Note that the Decred information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Decred's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Other Tools for Decred Crypto Coin

When running Decred price analysis, check to measure Decred's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Decred is operating at the current time. Most of Decred's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Decred's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Decred's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Decred to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go