Dada Nexus Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.17

DADA
 Stock
  

USD 5.65  0.61  9.74%   

Dada Nexus' future price is the expected price of Dada Nexus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dada Nexus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Dada Nexus' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dada Nexus. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dada Nexus based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dada Nexus over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Dada Nexus' common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-01 at 14:44:07 for $1.3 and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.25, and an ask price of $1.45. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of December is 82.2491. View All Dada Nexus options

Closest to current price Dada Nexus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Dada Nexus Backtesting, Dada Nexus Valuation, Dada Nexus Correlation, Dada Nexus Hype Analysis, Dada Nexus Volatility, Dada Nexus History as well as Dada Nexus Performance. Please specify Dada Nexus time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Dada Nexus odds to be computed.

Dada Nexus Target Price Odds to finish below 4.17

The tendency of Dada Nexus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.17  or more in 90 days
 5.65 90 days 4.17 
about 28.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dada Nexus to drop to $ 4.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.65 (This Dada Nexus probability density function shows the probability of Dada Nexus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dada Nexus price to stay between $ 4.17  and its current price of $5.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dada Nexus will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0137, implying that it can generate a 0.0137 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dada Nexus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dada Nexus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dada Nexus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dada Nexus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Dada Nexus in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.285.6512.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.0913.5620.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.115.6712.68
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
31.6038.6048.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dada Nexus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dada Nexus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dada Nexus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Dada Nexus.

Dada Nexus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dada Nexus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dada Nexus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dada Nexus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dada Nexus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01369
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.017542

Dada Nexus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dada Nexus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dada Nexus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dada Nexus has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.47 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.73 B.
Dada Nexus currently holds about 4.98 B in cash with (2.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Dada Nexus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dada Nexus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dada Nexus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dada Nexus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding237674389.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1706739000.00

Dada Nexus Technical Analysis

Dada Nexus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dada Nexus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dada Nexus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dada Nexus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dada Nexus Predictive Forecast Models

Dada Nexus time-series forecasting models is one of many Dada Nexus' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Dada Nexus' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dada Nexus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dada Nexus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dada Nexus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dada Nexus has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.47 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.73 B.
Dada Nexus currently holds about 4.98 B in cash with (2.66 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.47, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Continue to Dada Nexus Backtesting, Dada Nexus Valuation, Dada Nexus Correlation, Dada Nexus Hype Analysis, Dada Nexus Volatility, Dada Nexus History as well as Dada Nexus Performance. Note that the Dada Nexus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dada Nexus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Dada Nexus Stock analysis

When running Dada Nexus price analysis, check to measure Dada Nexus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dada Nexus is operating at the current time. Most of Dada Nexus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dada Nexus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dada Nexus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dada Nexus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dada Nexus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dada Nexus. If investors know Dada Nexus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dada Nexus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.41
Return On Assets
(0.19) 
Return On Equity
(0.37) 
The market value of Dada Nexus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dada Nexus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dada Nexus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dada Nexus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dada Nexus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dada Nexus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dada Nexus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Dada Nexus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dada Nexus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.