CREDIT OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 5.79

CSGKF
 Stock
  

USD 5.79  0.14  2.48%   

CREDIT SUISSE's future price is the expected price of CREDIT SUISSE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CREDIT SUISSE GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to CREDIT SUISSE Backtesting, CREDIT SUISSE Valuation, CREDIT SUISSE Correlation, CREDIT SUISSE Hype Analysis, CREDIT SUISSE Volatility, CREDIT SUISSE History as well as CREDIT SUISSE Performance. Please specify CREDIT SUISSE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like CREDIT SUISSE odds to be computed.

CREDIT SUISSE Target Price Odds to finish over 5.79

The tendency of CREDIT OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.79 90 days 5.79 
about 64.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CREDIT SUISSE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.08 (This CREDIT SUISSE GROUP probability density function shows the probability of CREDIT OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CREDIT SUISSE GROUP has a beta of -0.21 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding CREDIT SUISSE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, CREDIT SUISSE GROUP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. CREDIT SUISSE GROUP is significantly underperforming DOW.
   CREDIT SUISSE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CREDIT SUISSE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CREDIT SUISSE GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CREDIT SUISSE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CREDIT SUISSE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.735.778.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.005.048.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.885.928.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.145.555.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CREDIT SUISSE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CREDIT SUISSE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CREDIT SUISSE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CREDIT SUISSE GROUP.

CREDIT SUISSE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CREDIT SUISSE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CREDIT SUISSE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CREDIT SUISSE GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CREDIT SUISSE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

CREDIT SUISSE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CREDIT SUISSE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CREDIT SUISSE GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CREDIT SUISSE GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CREDIT SUISSE GROUP has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 18.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.52 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.07 B.
Latest headline from www.bloomberg.com: Credit Suisse Top Shareholder Harris Associates Discloses 10 percent Stake After Slump - Bloomberg

CREDIT SUISSE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CREDIT OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CREDIT SUISSE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CREDIT SUISSE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.29
Float Shares2.25B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day212.76k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month194.11k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.19%

CREDIT SUISSE Technical Analysis

CREDIT SUISSE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CREDIT OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CREDIT SUISSE GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing CREDIT OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CREDIT SUISSE Predictive Forecast Models

CREDIT SUISSE time-series forecasting models is one of many CREDIT SUISSE's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary CREDIT SUISSE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CREDIT SUISSE GROUP

Checking the ongoing alerts about CREDIT SUISSE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CREDIT SUISSE GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

CREDIT SUISSE Alerts

CREDIT SUISSE Alerts and Suggestions

CREDIT SUISSE GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CREDIT SUISSE GROUP has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 18.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.52 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.07 B.
Latest headline from www.bloomberg.com: Credit Suisse Top Shareholder Harris Associates Discloses 10 percent Stake After Slump - Bloomberg
Continue to CREDIT SUISSE Backtesting, CREDIT SUISSE Valuation, CREDIT SUISSE Correlation, CREDIT SUISSE Hype Analysis, CREDIT SUISSE Volatility, CREDIT SUISSE History as well as CREDIT SUISSE Performance. Note that the CREDIT SUISSE GROUP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CREDIT SUISSE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for CREDIT OTC Stock analysis

When running CREDIT SUISSE GROUP price analysis, check to measure CREDIT SUISSE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CREDIT SUISSE is operating at the current time. Most of CREDIT SUISSE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CREDIT SUISSE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CREDIT SUISSE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CREDIT SUISSE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CREDIT SUISSE's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CREDIT SUISSE. If investors know CREDIT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CREDIT SUISSE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.25
Market Capitalization
14.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.3
Return On Assets
-0.0046
Return On Equity
-0.0781
The market value of CREDIT SUISSE GROUP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CREDIT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CREDIT SUISSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CREDIT SUISSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CREDIT SUISSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CREDIT SUISSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CREDIT SUISSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CREDIT SUISSE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CREDIT SUISSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.