Salesforce Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 155.73

CRM
 Stock
  

USD 155.73  7.83  5.29%   

Salesforce's future price is the expected price of Salesforce instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Salesforce performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Salesforce's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Salesforce. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Salesforce based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Salesforce over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-07 CALL at $155.0 is a CALL option contract on Salesforce's common stock with a strick price of 155.0 expiring on 2022-10-07. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-03 at 15:54:24 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.51, and an ask price of $0.6. The implied volatility as of the 4th of October is 50.2783. View All Salesforce options

Closest to current price Salesforce long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Salesforce Backtesting, Salesforce Valuation, Salesforce Correlation, Salesforce Hype Analysis, Salesforce Volatility, Salesforce History as well as Salesforce Performance. Please specify Salesforce time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Salesforce odds to be computed.

Salesforce Target Price Odds to finish over 155.73

The tendency of Salesforce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 155.73 90 days 155.73 
about 81.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salesforce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.87 (This Salesforce probability density function shows the probability of Salesforce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Salesforce will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Salesforce is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Salesforce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Salesforce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salesforce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Salesforce's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Salesforce in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
154.26156.68159.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
141.04187.18189.60
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
233.00320.90365.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Salesforce. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Salesforce's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Salesforce's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Salesforce.

Salesforce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salesforce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salesforce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salesforce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salesforce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.05
β
Beta against DOW1.42
σ
Overall volatility
14.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Salesforce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salesforce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salesforce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Salesforce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Heres How Much You Would Have Made Owning Salesforce Stock In The Last 10 Years - Salesforce - Benzinga

Salesforce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Salesforce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Salesforce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salesforce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.14%
Short Percent Of Float1.18%
Float Shares963.23M
Shares Short Prior Month14.09M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.71M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.13M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Salesforce Technical Analysis

Salesforce's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salesforce Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salesforce. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salesforce Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Salesforce Predictive Forecast Models

Salesforce time-series forecasting models is one of many Salesforce's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Salesforce's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Salesforce

Checking the ongoing alerts about Salesforce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salesforce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Salesforce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: Heres How Much You Would Have Made Owning Salesforce Stock In The Last 10 Years - Salesforce - Benzinga
Continue to Salesforce Backtesting, Salesforce Valuation, Salesforce Correlation, Salesforce Hype Analysis, Salesforce Volatility, Salesforce History as well as Salesforce Performance. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Salesforce price analysis, check to measure Salesforce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Salesforce is operating at the current time. Most of Salesforce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Salesforce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Salesforce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Salesforce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Salesforce's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Salesforce. If investors know Salesforce will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Salesforce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Salesforce is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Salesforce that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Salesforce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Salesforce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Salesforce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Salesforce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Salesforce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Salesforce value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Salesforce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.