Clean Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.15

CLNE
 Stock
  

USD 6.15  0.20  3.15%   

Clean Energy's future price is the expected price of Clean Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clean Energy Fuels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of November 28, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 1.81. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -15.03.
  
Clean Energy's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Clean Energy Fuels. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Clean Energy based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Clean Energy Fuels over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $6.0 is a CALL option contract on Clean Energy's common stock with a strick price of 6.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 10:48:56 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.57. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 60.6799. View All Clean options

Closest to current price Clean long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Clean Energy Backtesting, Clean Energy Valuation, Clean Energy Correlation, Clean Energy Hype Analysis, Clean Energy Volatility, Clean Energy History as well as Clean Energy Performance. Please specify Clean Energy time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Clean Energy odds to be computed.

Clean Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 6.15

The tendency of Clean Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.15 90 days 6.15 
about 60.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clean Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.15 (This Clean Energy Fuels probability density function shows the probability of Clean Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.9 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Clean Energy will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Clean Energy Fuels is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Clean Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clean Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clean Energy Fuels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clean Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Clean Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.616.1710.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.067.6212.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.446.0010.56
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.0010.0011.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clean Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clean Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clean Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Clean Energy Fuels.

Clean Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clean Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clean Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clean Energy Fuels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clean Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.32
β
Beta against DOW1.90
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Clean Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clean Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clean Energy Fuels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clean Energy Fuels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Clean Energy Fuels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 398.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.04 M.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NEXT Renewable Fuels, Inc. to Become Publicly Traded Via Combination with Industrial Tech Acquisitions II, Inc. Resulting Company to be Named NXTCLEAN Fuels, Inc. - Marketscreener.com

Clean Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clean Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clean Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clean Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.44%
Short Percent Of Float7.21%
Float Shares176.05M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.08M
Shares Short Prior Month13.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.84M
Date Short Interest15th of November 2022

Clean Energy Technical Analysis

Clean Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clean Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clean Energy Fuels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clean Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clean Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Clean Energy time-series forecasting models is one of many Clean Energy's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Clean Energy's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clean Energy Fuels

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clean Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clean Energy Fuels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clean Energy Fuels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Clean Energy Fuels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 398.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.04 M.
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NEXT Renewable Fuels, Inc. to Become Publicly Traded Via Combination with Industrial Tech Acquisitions II, Inc. Resulting Company to be Named NXTCLEAN Fuels, Inc. - Marketscreener.com
Continue to Clean Energy Backtesting, Clean Energy Valuation, Clean Energy Correlation, Clean Energy Hype Analysis, Clean Energy Volatility, Clean Energy History as well as Clean Energy Performance. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running Clean Energy Fuels price analysis, check to measure Clean Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clean Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Clean Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clean Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clean Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clean Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Clean Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clean Energy. If investors know Clean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clean Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
5.12
Market Capitalization
1.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.46
Return On Assets
(0.0314) 
Return On Equity
(0.07) 
The market value of Clean Energy Fuels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clean Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clean Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clean Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clean Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clean Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Clean Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clean Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.