Clearsign Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.93

CLIR
 Stock
  

USD 0.93  0.02  2.20%   

Clearsign Combustion's future price is the expected price of Clearsign Combustion instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clearsign Combustion performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Clearsign Combustion's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Clearsign Combustion. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Clearsign Combustion based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Clearsign Combustion over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on Clearsign Combustion's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-14 at 12:40:03 for $1.35 and, as of today, has 26 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $2.15. The implied volatility as of the 25th of September is 866.3373. View All Clearsign options

Closest to current price Clearsign long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Clearsign Combustion Backtesting, Clearsign Combustion Valuation, Clearsign Combustion Correlation, Clearsign Combustion Hype Analysis, Clearsign Combustion Volatility, Clearsign Combustion History as well as Clearsign Combustion Performance. Please specify Clearsign Combustion time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Clearsign Combustion odds to be computed.

Clearsign Combustion Target Price Odds to finish over 0.93

The tendency of Clearsign Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.93 90 days 0.93 
about 92.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clearsign Combustion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.71 (This Clearsign Combustion probability density function shows the probability of Clearsign Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Clearsign Combustion has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Clearsign Combustion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Clearsign Combustion will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Clearsign Combustion is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Clearsign Combustion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clearsign Combustion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearsign Combustion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clearsign Combustion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Clearsign Combustion in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.050.936.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.112.177.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0146280.736.08
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.006.006.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clearsign Combustion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clearsign Combustion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clearsign Combustion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Clearsign Combustion.

Clearsign Combustion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clearsign Combustion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clearsign Combustion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clearsign Combustion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clearsign Combustion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.18
β
Beta against DOW0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Clearsign Combustion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clearsign Combustion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clearsign Combustion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clearsign Combustion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Clearsign Combustion has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Clearsign Combustion has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Clearsign Combustion is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 244 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (452 K).
Clearsign Combustion currently holds about 6.67 M in cash with (6.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ClearSign Technologies Corporation Provides Second Quarter 2022 Update - Yahoo Finance

Clearsign Combustion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clearsign Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clearsign Combustion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearsign Combustion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.09%
Short Percent Of Float1.31%
Float Shares31.9M
Shares Short Prior Month426.62k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day53.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month49.89k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Clearsign Combustion Technical Analysis

Clearsign Combustion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clearsign Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clearsign Combustion. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clearsign Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clearsign Combustion Predictive Forecast Models

Clearsign Combustion time-series forecasting models is one of many Clearsign Combustion's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Clearsign Combustion's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clearsign Combustion

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clearsign Combustion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clearsign Combustion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Clearsign Combustion Alerts

Clearsign Combustion Alerts and Suggestions

Clearsign Combustion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Clearsign Combustion has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Clearsign Combustion has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Clearsign Combustion is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 244 K. Net Loss for the year was (7.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (452 K).
Clearsign Combustion currently holds about 6.67 M in cash with (6.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.21.
Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ClearSign Technologies Corporation Provides Second Quarter 2022 Update - Yahoo Finance
Continue to Clearsign Combustion Backtesting, Clearsign Combustion Valuation, Clearsign Combustion Correlation, Clearsign Combustion Hype Analysis, Clearsign Combustion Volatility, Clearsign Combustion History as well as Clearsign Combustion Performance. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Clearsign Combustion price analysis, check to measure Clearsign Combustion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearsign Combustion is operating at the current time. Most of Clearsign Combustion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearsign Combustion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearsign Combustion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearsign Combustion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Clearsign Combustion's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearsign Combustion. If investors know Clearsign will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clearsign Combustion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Clearsign Combustion is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearsign that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearsign Combustion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearsign Combustion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clearsign Combustion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearsign Combustion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clearsign Combustion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Clearsign Combustion value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clearsign Combustion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.