Cellebrite Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.25


USD 4.25  0.17  4.17%   

Cellebrite's future price is the expected price of Cellebrite instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cellebrite DI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
Cellebrite's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Cellebrite DI. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Cellebrite based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Cellebrite DI over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Cellebrite's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-08 at 11:04:23 for $0.05 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $0.05. The implied volatility as of the 9th of December is 124.4037. View All Cellebrite options

Closest to current price Cellebrite long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Cellebrite Backtesting, Cellebrite Valuation, Cellebrite Correlation, Cellebrite Hype Analysis, Cellebrite Volatility, Cellebrite History as well as Cellebrite Performance. Please specify Cellebrite time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Cellebrite odds to be computed.

Cellebrite Target Price Odds to finish over 4.25

The tendency of Cellebrite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.25 90 days 4.25 
about 80.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cellebrite to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.29 (This Cellebrite DI probability density function shows the probability of Cellebrite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cellebrite has a beta of 0.81 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cellebrite average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cellebrite DI will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Cellebrite DI is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Cellebrite Price Density   

Predictive Modules for Cellebrite

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellebrite DI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cellebrite's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Cellebrite in the context of predictive analytics.
LowEstimated ValueHigh
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
5 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cellebrite. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cellebrite's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cellebrite's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Cellebrite DI.

Cellebrite Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cellebrite is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cellebrite's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cellebrite DI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cellebrite within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite0.81
Overall volatility
Information ratio -0.09

Cellebrite Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cellebrite for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cellebrite DI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cellebrite DI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Ecovyst Stock Undervalued - Yahoo Finance

Cellebrite Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cellebrite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cellebrite's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cellebrite's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding161538579.00
Cash And Short Term Investments181565000.00

Cellebrite Technical Analysis

Cellebrite's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cellebrite Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cellebrite DI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cellebrite Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cellebrite Predictive Forecast Models

Cellebrite time-series forecasting models is one of many Cellebrite's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cellebrite's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cellebrite DI

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cellebrite for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cellebrite DI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cellebrite DI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Ecovyst Stock Undervalued - Yahoo Finance
Continue to Cellebrite Backtesting, Cellebrite Valuation, Cellebrite Correlation, Cellebrite Hype Analysis, Cellebrite Volatility, Cellebrite History as well as Cellebrite Performance. Note that the Cellebrite DI information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cellebrite's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Cellebrite Stock analysis

When running Cellebrite DI price analysis, check to measure Cellebrite's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellebrite is operating at the current time. Most of Cellebrite's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellebrite's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellebrite's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellebrite to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cellebrite's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cellebrite. If investors know Cellebrite will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cellebrite listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
779.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Cellebrite DI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cellebrite that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cellebrite's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cellebrite's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cellebrite's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cellebrite's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cellebrite's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cellebrite value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cellebrite's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.