Growth Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 45.44

CGFCX
 Fund
  

USD 45.44  0.97  2.09%   

Growth Fund's future price is the expected price of Growth Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Growth Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Growth Fund Correlation, Growth Fund Hype Analysis, Growth Fund Volatility, Growth Fund History as well as Growth Fund Performance. Please specify Growth Fund time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Growth Fund odds to be computed.

Growth Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 45.44

The tendency of Growth Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 45.44 90 days 45.44 
over 95.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Growth Fund to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.31 (This The Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Growth Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.24 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Growth Fund will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0446, implying that it can generate a 0.0446 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Growth Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Growth Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Growth Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Growth Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Growth Fund in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
43.9545.4446.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
44.9446.4347.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
43.7145.2046.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.6648.8652.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Growth Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Growth Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Growth Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Growth Fund.

Growth Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Growth Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Growth Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Growth Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.044636
β
Beta against DOW1.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.16
Ir
Information ratio 0.021426

Growth Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Growth Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Growth Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Growth Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 9.53% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Growth Fund Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Growth Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Growth Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Growth Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.91
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield6.27%

Growth Fund Technical Analysis

Growth Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Growth Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Growth Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Growth Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Growth Fund time-series forecasting models is one of many Growth Fund's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Growth Fund's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Growth Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Growth Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Growth Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Growth Fund Alerts

Growth Fund Alerts and Suggestions

Growth Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 9.53% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Continue to Growth Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Growth Fund Correlation, Growth Fund Hype Analysis, Growth Fund Volatility, Growth Fund History as well as Growth Fund Performance. Note that the Growth Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Growth Fund's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Growth Mutual Fund analysis

When running Growth Fund price analysis, check to measure Growth Fund's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Growth Fund is operating at the current time. Most of Growth Fund's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Growth Fund's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Growth Fund's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Growth Fund to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Stock Screener
Find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Go
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Go
Please note, there is a significant difference between Growth Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Growth Fund value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Growth Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.