Cliffwater Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.68

CELFX
 Fund
  

USD 10.68  0.01  0.09%   

Cliffwater Enhanced's future price is the expected price of Cliffwater Enhanced instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cliffwater Enhanced Lending performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Cliffwater Enhanced Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cliffwater Enhanced Correlation, Cliffwater Enhanced Hype Analysis, Cliffwater Enhanced Volatility, Cliffwater Enhanced History as well as Cliffwater Enhanced Performance. Please specify Cliffwater Enhanced time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Cliffwater Enhanced odds to be computed.

Cliffwater Enhanced Target Price Odds to finish over 10.68

The tendency of Cliffwater Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.68 90 days 10.68 
roughly 2.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cliffwater Enhanced to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.38 (This Cliffwater Enhanced Lending probability density function shows the probability of Cliffwater Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cliffwater Enhanced Lending has a beta of -0.0057 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Cliffwater Enhanced are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Cliffwater Enhanced Lending is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0205, implying that it can generate a 0.0205 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cliffwater Enhanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cliffwater Enhanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cliffwater Enhanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cliffwater Enhanced's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Cliffwater Enhanced in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.6310.6810.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6110.6610.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.6410.6910.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5910.6310.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cliffwater Enhanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cliffwater Enhanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cliffwater Enhanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Cliffwater Enhanced.

Cliffwater Enhanced Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cliffwater Enhanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cliffwater Enhanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cliffwater Enhanced Lending, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cliffwater Enhanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.020513
β
Beta against DOW-0.0057
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.96

Cliffwater Enhanced Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cliffwater Enhanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cliffwater Enhanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cliffwater is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
On 4th of October 2022 Cliffwater Enhanced paid $ 0.2421 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Cliffwater Enhanced Technical Analysis

Cliffwater Enhanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cliffwater Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cliffwater Enhanced Lending. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cliffwater Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cliffwater Enhanced Predictive Forecast Models

Cliffwater Enhanced time-series forecasting models is one of many Cliffwater Enhanced's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cliffwater Enhanced's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cliffwater Enhanced

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cliffwater Enhanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cliffwater Enhanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cliffwater is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
On 4th of October 2022 Cliffwater Enhanced paid $ 0.2421 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Continue to Cliffwater Enhanced Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cliffwater Enhanced Correlation, Cliffwater Enhanced Hype Analysis, Cliffwater Enhanced Volatility, Cliffwater Enhanced History as well as Cliffwater Enhanced Performance. Note that the Cliffwater Enhanced information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cliffwater Enhanced's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cliffwater Enhanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cliffwater Enhanced value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cliffwater Enhanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.