Continental Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.39

CAL
 Stock
  

USD 24.78  0.64  2.52%   

Continental's future price is the expected price of Continental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Caleres performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continental's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Caleres. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Continental based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Caleres over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Continental's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-04 at 15:55:08 for $1.7 and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $1.5. The implied volatility as of the 7th of October is 59.3566. View All Continental options

Closest to current price Continental long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Continental Backtesting, Continental Valuation, Continental Correlation, Continental Hype Analysis, Continental Volatility, Continental History as well as Continental Performance. Please specify Continental time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Continental odds to be computed.

Continental Target Price Odds to finish over 29.39

The tendency of Continental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 29.39  or more in 90 days
 24.78 90 days 29.39 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Continental to move over $ 29.39  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Caleres probability density function shows the probability of Continental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Continental price to stay between its current price of $ 24.78  and $ 29.39  at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.64 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Continental will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1163, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Continental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Continental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Continental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Continental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Continental in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
20.9824.5928.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.1328.3031.91
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0035.0040.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Continental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Continental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Continental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Continental.

Continental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Continental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Continental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caleres, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Continental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.12
β
Beta against DOW1.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.02949

Continental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Continental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Continental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Continental has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has 876.43 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.45, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Continental has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Continental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Continental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Continental sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Continental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Continental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 96.0% of Continental shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of September 2022 Continental paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Continental exotic insider transaction detected

Continental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Continental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Continental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Continental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.48%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.28
Short Percent Of Float10.94%
Float Shares34.91M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day556.99k
Shares Short Prior Month2.91M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month666.35k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.14%

Continental Technical Analysis

Continental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Continental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caleres. In general, you should focus on analyzing Continental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Continental Predictive Forecast Models

Continental time-series forecasting models is one of many Continental's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Continental's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Continental

Checking the ongoing alerts about Continental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Continental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Continental has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has 876.43 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.45, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Continental has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Continental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Continental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Continental sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Continental to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Continental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 96.0% of Continental shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of September 2022 Continental paid $ 0.07 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Continental exotic insider transaction detected
Continue to Continental Backtesting, Continental Valuation, Continental Correlation, Continental Hype Analysis, Continental Volatility, Continental History as well as Continental Performance. Note that the Continental information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Continental's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Continental Stock analysis

When running Continental price analysis, check to measure Continental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Continental is operating at the current time. Most of Continental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Continental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Continental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Continental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Continental's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Continental. If investors know Continental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Continental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Continental is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Continental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Continental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Continental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Continental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Continental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Continental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Continental value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Continental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.