Bluerock Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.88


USD 26.88  0.13  0.49%   

Bluerock Residential's future price is the expected price of Bluerock Residential instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bluerock Residential Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
Bluerock Residential's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bluerock Residential Growth. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bluerock Residential based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bluerock Residential Growth over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Bluerock Residential's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-29 at 14:17:33 for $2.0 and, as of today, has 20 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.85, and an ask price of $1.95. The implied volatility as of the 1st of October is 28.8286. View All Bluerock options

Closest to current price Bluerock long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Bluerock Residential Backtesting, Bluerock Residential Valuation, Bluerock Residential Correlation, Bluerock Residential Hype Analysis, Bluerock Residential Volatility, Bluerock Residential History as well as Bluerock Residential Performance. Please specify Bluerock Residential time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bluerock Residential odds to be computed.

Bluerock Residential Target Price Odds to finish over 26.88

The tendency of Bluerock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.88 90 days 26.88 
about 8.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bluerock Residential to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.31 (This Bluerock Residential Growth probability density function shows the probability of Bluerock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bluerock Residential has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bluerock Residential average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bluerock Residential Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0414, implying that it can generate a 0.0414 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bluerock Residential Price Density   

Predictive Modules for Bluerock Residential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bluerock Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bluerock Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bluerock Residential in the context of predictive analytics.
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bluerock Residential. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bluerock Residential's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bluerock Residential's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bluerock Residential.

Bluerock Residential Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bluerock Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bluerock Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bluerock Residential Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bluerock Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW0.12
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.18

Bluerock Residential Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bluerock Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bluerock Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 241.7 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (36.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 150.49 M.
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by R Kamfar of 230 shares of Bluerock Residential

Bluerock Residential Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bluerock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bluerock Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bluerock Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.75%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.65
Short Percent Of Float5.78%
Float Shares28.78M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day276.78k
Shares Short Prior Month763k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month294.63k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.43%

Bluerock Residential Technical Analysis

Bluerock Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bluerock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bluerock Residential Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bluerock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bluerock Residential Predictive Forecast Models

Bluerock Residential time-series forecasting models is one of many Bluerock Residential's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bluerock Residential's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bluerock Residential

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bluerock Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bluerock Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 241.7 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (36.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 150.49 M.
About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by R Kamfar of 230 shares of Bluerock Residential

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When running Bluerock Residential price analysis, check to measure Bluerock Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bluerock Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Bluerock Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bluerock Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bluerock Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bluerock Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bluerock Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluerock Residential. If investors know Bluerock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluerock Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Bluerock Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluerock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluerock Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluerock Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluerock Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluerock Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluerock Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bluerock Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluerock Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.