BNPQF OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 43.46

BNPQF
 Stock
  

USD 54.40  1.08  1.95%   

BNP Paribas' future price is the expected price of BNP Paribas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BNP Paribas SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to BNP Paribas Backtesting, BNP Paribas Valuation, BNP Paribas Correlation, BNP Paribas Hype Analysis, BNP Paribas Volatility, BNP Paribas History as well as BNP Paribas Performance. Please specify BNP Paribas time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BNP Paribas odds to be computed.

BNP Paribas Target Price Odds to finish over 43.46

The tendency of BNPQF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 43.46  in 90 days
 54.40 90 days 43.46 
about 85.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BNP Paribas to stay above $ 43.46  in 90 days from now is about 85.91 (This BNP Paribas SA probability density function shows the probability of BNPQF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BNP Paribas SA price to stay between $ 43.46  and its current price of $54.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BNP Paribas has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BNP Paribas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BNP Paribas SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2331, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BNP Paribas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BNP Paribas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BNP Paribas SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BNP Paribas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BNP Paribas in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
53.2755.7358.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.5048.9659.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
52.5354.9957.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.5648.1657.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BNP Paribas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BNP Paribas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BNP Paribas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BNP Paribas SA.

BNP Paribas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BNP Paribas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BNP Paribas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BNP Paribas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BNP Paribas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.20
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

BNP Paribas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BNPQF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BNP Paribas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BNP Paribas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1233331646.00

BNP Paribas Technical Analysis

BNP Paribas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BNPQF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BNP Paribas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing BNPQF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BNP Paribas Predictive Forecast Models

BNP Paribas time-series forecasting models is one of many BNP Paribas' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary BNP Paribas' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

BNP Paribas Investors Sentiment

The influence of BNP Paribas' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in BNPQF. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a otc movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire otc markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to BNP Paribas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in BNPQF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BNPQF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BNP Paribas SA. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
BNP Paribas' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for BNP Paribas' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average BNP Paribas' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on BNP Paribas.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BNP Paribas in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BNP Paribas' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BNP Paribas options trading.
Continue to BNP Paribas Backtesting, BNP Paribas Valuation, BNP Paribas Correlation, BNP Paribas Hype Analysis, BNP Paribas Volatility, BNP Paribas History as well as BNP Paribas Performance. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running BNP Paribas SA price analysis, check to measure BNP Paribas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BNP Paribas is operating at the current time. Most of BNP Paribas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BNP Paribas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BNP Paribas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BNP Paribas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BNP Paribas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BNP Paribas value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BNP Paribas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.