BNPQF OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 40.52


USD 54.40  1.08  1.95%   

BNP Paribas' future price is the expected price of BNP Paribas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BNP Paribas SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
Continue to BNP Paribas Backtesting, BNP Paribas Valuation, BNP Paribas Correlation, BNP Paribas Hype Analysis, BNP Paribas Volatility, BNP Paribas History as well as BNP Paribas Performance. Please specify BNP Paribas time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BNP Paribas odds to be computed.

BNP Paribas Target Price Odds to finish below 40.52

The tendency of BNPQF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 40.52  or more in 90 days
 54.40 90 days 40.52 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BNP Paribas to drop to $ 40.52  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This BNP Paribas SA probability density function shows the probability of BNPQF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BNP Paribas SA price to stay between $ 40.52  and its current price of $54.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BNP Paribas has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BNP Paribas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BNP Paribas SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2043, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BNP Paribas Price Density   

Predictive Modules for BNP Paribas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BNP Paribas SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BNP Paribas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BNP Paribas in the context of predictive analytics.
LowEstimated ValueHigh
LowReal ValueHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BNP Paribas. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BNP Paribas' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BNP Paribas' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BNP Paribas SA.

BNP Paribas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BNP Paribas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BNP Paribas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BNP Paribas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BNP Paribas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite0.44
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.06

BNP Paribas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BNP Paribas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BNP Paribas SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

BNP Paribas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BNPQF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BNP Paribas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BNP Paribas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1233331646.00

BNP Paribas Technical Analysis

BNP Paribas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BNPQF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BNP Paribas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing BNPQF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BNP Paribas Predictive Forecast Models

BNP Paribas time-series forecasting models is one of many BNP Paribas' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary BNP Paribas' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BNP Paribas SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about BNP Paribas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BNP Paribas SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continue to BNP Paribas Backtesting, BNP Paribas Valuation, BNP Paribas Correlation, BNP Paribas Hype Analysis, BNP Paribas Volatility, BNP Paribas History as well as BNP Paribas Performance. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running BNP Paribas SA price analysis, check to measure BNP Paribas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BNP Paribas is operating at the current time. Most of BNP Paribas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BNP Paribas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BNP Paribas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BNP Paribas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BNP Paribas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BNP Paribas value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BNP Paribas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.