Long Term Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 72.38

BLV
 Etf
  

USD 74.67  0.84  1.14%   

Long Term's future price is the expected price of Long Term instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Long Term Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Long Term's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Long Term Bond. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Long Term based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Long Term Bond over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $75.0 is a CALL option contract on Long Term's common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-29 at 14:09:35 for $0.95 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.25, and an ask price of $3.8. The implied volatility as of the 30th of November is 23.6104. View All Long Term options

Closest to current price Long Term long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Long Term Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Long Term Correlation, Long Term Hype Analysis, Long Term Volatility, Long Term History as well as Long Term Performance. Please specify Long Term time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Long Term odds to be computed.

Long Term Target Price Odds to finish over 72.38

The tendency of Long Term Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 72.38  in 90 days
 74.67 90 days 72.38 
about 48.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Long Term to stay above $ 72.38  in 90 days from now is about 48.62 (This Long Term Bond probability density function shows the probability of Long Term Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Long Term Bond price to stay between $ 72.38  and its current price of $74.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.03 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Long Term has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Long Term average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Long Term Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Long Term Bond is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Long Term Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Long Term

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Long Term Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Long Term's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Long Term in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
72.6273.8375.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
72.0973.3074.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
73.5974.8076.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
66.6970.3674.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Long Term. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Long Term's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Long Term's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Long Term Bond.

Long Term Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Long Term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Long Term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Long Term Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Long Term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.14
β
Beta against DOW0.39
σ
Overall volatility
3.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Long Term Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Long Term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Long Term Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Long Term Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 4th of November 2022 Long Term paid $ 0.2509 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Long Term Bond generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds about 9.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Long Term Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Long Term Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Long Term's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Long Term's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day391.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month494.53k

Long Term Technical Analysis

Long Term's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Long Term Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Long Term Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Long Term Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Long Term Predictive Forecast Models

Long Term time-series forecasting models is one of many Long Term's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Long Term's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Long Term Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Long Term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Long Term Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Long Term Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 4th of November 2022 Long Term paid $ 0.2509 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Long Term Bond generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds about 9.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Continue to Long Term Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Long Term Correlation, Long Term Hype Analysis, Long Term Volatility, Long Term History as well as Long Term Performance. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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When running Long Term Bond price analysis, check to measure Long Term's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Long Term is operating at the current time. Most of Long Term's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Long Term's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Long Term's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Long Term to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Long Term Bond is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Long Term that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Long Term's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Long Term's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Long Term's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Long Term's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Long Term's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Long Term value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Long Term's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.