Baker Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.28

BKR
 Stock
  

USD 25.28  0.93  3.82%   

Baker Hughes' future price is the expected price of Baker Hughes instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baker Hughes A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 08/12/2022, Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 1.60. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -91.46.
  
Baker Hughes' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Baker Hughes A. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Baker Hughes based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Baker Hughes A over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Baker Hughes' common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-11 at 13:10:58 for $0.75 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.7, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 12th of August 2022 is 40.5257. View All Baker options

Closest to current price Baker long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Baker Hughes Backtesting, Baker Hughes Valuation, Baker Hughes Correlation, Baker Hughes Hype Analysis, Baker Hughes Volatility, Baker Hughes History as well as Baker Hughes Performance. Please specify Baker Hughes time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Baker Hughes odds to be computed.

Baker Hughes Target Price Odds to finish over 25.28

The tendency of Baker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.28 90 days 25.28 
about 85.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baker Hughes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.86 (This Baker Hughes A probability density function shows the probability of Baker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Baker Hughes has a beta of 0.86 suggesting Baker Hughes A market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Baker Hughes is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Baker Hughes A is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Baker Hughes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baker Hughes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baker Hughes A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baker Hughes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Baker Hughes in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
22.4825.2728.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
22.7525.5428.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
21.7724.5727.36
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.0029.5934.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baker Hughes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baker Hughes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baker Hughes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Baker Hughes A.

Baker Hughes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baker Hughes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baker Hughes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baker Hughes A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baker Hughes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.27
β
Beta against DOW0.86
σ
Overall volatility
4.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Baker Hughes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baker Hughes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baker Hughes A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baker Hughes A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Baker Hughes A is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Baker Hughes A was previously known as BAKER HUGHES CO and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BHGE.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.46 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (466 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.05 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investors.bakerhughes.com: Baker Hughes Announces Local Management Buyout of its Oilfield Services Business in Russia Baker Hughes - Baker Hughes

Baker Hughes Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baker Hughes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baker Hughes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.41%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.72
Short Percent Of Float2.70%
Float Shares965.44M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.81M
Shares Short Prior Month15.8M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.02M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.97%

Baker Hughes Technical Analysis

Baker Hughes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baker Hughes A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baker Hughes Predictive Forecast Models

Baker Hughes time-series forecasting models is one of many Baker Hughes' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Baker Hughes' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baker Hughes A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baker Hughes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baker Hughes A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Baker Hughes Alerts

Baker Hughes Alerts and Suggestions

Baker Hughes A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Baker Hughes A is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Baker Hughes A was previously known as BAKER HUGHES CO and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BHGE.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.46 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (466 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.05 B.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investors.bakerhughes.com: Baker Hughes Announces Local Management Buyout of its Oilfield Services Business in Russia Baker Hughes - Baker Hughes
Continue to Baker Hughes Backtesting, Baker Hughes Valuation, Baker Hughes Correlation, Baker Hughes Hype Analysis, Baker Hughes Volatility, Baker Hughes History as well as Baker Hughes Performance. Note that the Baker Hughes A information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Baker Hughes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running Baker Hughes A price analysis, check to measure Baker Hughes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baker Hughes is operating at the current time. Most of Baker Hughes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baker Hughes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baker Hughes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baker Hughes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Baker Hughes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Baker Hughes. If investors know Baker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Baker Hughes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.65
Market Capitalization
25.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.018
Return On Assets
0.0306
Return On Equity
-0.0249
The market value of Baker Hughes A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Baker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Baker Hughes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Baker Hughes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Baker Hughes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Baker Hughes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Baker Hughes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Baker Hughes value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baker Hughes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.