Bar Harbor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.54

BHB
 Stock
  

USD 30.05  0.52  1.70%   

Bar Harbor's future price is the expected price of Bar Harbor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bar Harbor Bankshares performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Bar Harbor Price to Book Value is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Book Value was at 1.02. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 13.35, whereas Price to Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 3.09.
  
Continue to Bar Harbor Backtesting, Bar Harbor Valuation, Bar Harbor Correlation, Bar Harbor Hype Analysis, Bar Harbor Volatility, Bar Harbor History as well as Bar Harbor Performance. Please specify Bar Harbor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bar Harbor odds to be computed.

Bar Harbor Target Price Odds to finish below 27.54

The tendency of Bar Harbor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 27.54  or more in 90 days
 30.05 90 days 27.54 
about 26.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bar Harbor to drop to $ 27.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.88 (This Bar Harbor Bankshares probability density function shows the probability of Bar Harbor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bar Harbor Bankshares price to stay between $ 27.54  and its current price of $30.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.08 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting Bar Harbor Bankshares market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bar Harbor is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0317, implying that it can generate a 0.0317 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bar Harbor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bar Harbor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bar Harbor Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bar Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bar Harbor in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
27.5229.9232.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
29.4931.8934.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.0030.4032.80
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.0034.5035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bar Harbor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bar Harbor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bar Harbor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bar Harbor Bankshares.

Bar Harbor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bar Harbor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bar Harbor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bar Harbor Bankshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bar Harbor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.031701
β
Beta against DOW1.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.01368

Bar Harbor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bar Harbor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bar Harbor Bankshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Bar Harbor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bar Harbor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bar Harbor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bar Harbor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.03%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.88
Short Percent Of Float1.06%
Float Shares14.7M
Shares Short Prior Month148.12k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day17.78k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19.82k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.89%

Bar Harbor Technical Analysis

Bar Harbor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bar Harbor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bar Harbor Bankshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bar Harbor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bar Harbor Predictive Forecast Models

Bar Harbor time-series forecasting models is one of many Bar Harbor's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bar Harbor's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bar Harbor Bankshares

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bar Harbor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bar Harbor Bankshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Continue to Bar Harbor Backtesting, Bar Harbor Valuation, Bar Harbor Correlation, Bar Harbor Hype Analysis, Bar Harbor Volatility, Bar Harbor History as well as Bar Harbor Performance. Note that the Bar Harbor Bankshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bar Harbor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Bar Harbor Stock analysis

When running Bar Harbor Bankshares price analysis, check to measure Bar Harbor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bar Harbor is operating at the current time. Most of Bar Harbor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bar Harbor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bar Harbor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bar Harbor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bar Harbor's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bar Harbor. If investors know Bar Harbor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bar Harbor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.04
Market Capitalization
460.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.005
Return On Assets
0.0108
Return On Equity
0.1
The market value of Bar Harbor Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bar Harbor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bar Harbor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bar Harbor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bar Harbor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bar Harbor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bar Harbor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bar Harbor value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bar Harbor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.