BG Foods Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.99

BGS
 Stock
  

USD 12.99  0.66  5.35%   

BG Foods' future price is the expected price of BG Foods instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BG Foods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. BG Foods Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. BG Foods reported last year Price to Book Value of 2.17. As of 12/03/2022, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 1.58, while Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop 29.03.
  
BG Foods' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on BG Foods. Implied volatility approximates the future value of BG Foods based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in BG Foods over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on BG Foods' common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 15:48:59 for $0.75 and, as of today, has 13 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.75, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of December is 51.4717. View All BG Foods options

Closest to current price BG Foods long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to BG Foods Backtesting, BG Foods Valuation, BG Foods Correlation, BG Foods Hype Analysis, BG Foods Volatility, BG Foods History as well as BG Foods Performance. Please specify BG Foods time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BG Foods odds to be computed.

BG Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 12.99

The tendency of BG Foods Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.99 90 days 12.99 
about 90.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BG Foods to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.9 (This BG Foods probability density function shows the probability of BG Foods Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BG Foods has a beta of 0.85 suggesting BG Foods market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BG Foods is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. BG Foods is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   BG Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BG Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BG Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BG Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BG Foods in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.6012.5315.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.6917.0219.95
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.0027.5029.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.871.911.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BG Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BG Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BG Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BG Foods.

BG Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BG Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BG Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BG Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BG Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.78
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.85
σ
Overall volatility
2.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

BG Foods Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BG Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BG Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BG Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BG Foods has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 31st of October 2022 BG Foods paid $ 0.475 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bunge to Acquire 49 percent of BZ Group to Expand in Europe - Nasdaq

BG Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BG Foods Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BG Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BG Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65747000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments33690000.00

BG Foods Technical Analysis

BG Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BG Foods Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BG Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing BG Foods Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BG Foods Predictive Forecast Models

BG Foods time-series forecasting models is one of many BG Foods' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary BG Foods' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BG Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about BG Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BG Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BG Foods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BG Foods has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 31st of October 2022 BG Foods paid $ 0.475 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bunge to Acquire 49 percent of BZ Group to Expand in Europe - Nasdaq
Continue to BG Foods Backtesting, BG Foods Valuation, BG Foods Correlation, BG Foods Hype Analysis, BG Foods Volatility, BG Foods History as well as BG Foods Performance. Note that the BG Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BG Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for BG Foods Stock analysis

When running BG Foods price analysis, check to measure BG Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BG Foods is operating at the current time. Most of BG Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BG Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BG Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BG Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BG Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BG Foods. If investors know BG Foods will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BG Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.99) 
Market Capitalization
931 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.026
Return On Assets
0.0285
Return On Equity
(0.0484) 
The market value of BG Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BG Foods that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BG Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BG Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BG Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BG Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BG Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BG Foods value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BG Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.