Bgc Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.24

BGCP
 Stock
  

USD 4.24  0.16  3.92%   

Bgc Partners' future price is the expected price of Bgc Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bgc Partners Cl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 13th of August 2022, Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 3.30. Also, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 15.21.
  
Bgc Partners' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bgc Partners Cl. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bgc Partners based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bgc Partners Cl over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $4.0 is a CALL option contract on Bgc Partners' common stock with a strick price of 4.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-12 at 10:39:50 for $0.21 and, as of today, has 7 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.9. The implied volatility as of the 13th of August 2022 is 343.2592. View All Bgc Partners options

Closest to current price Bgc Partners long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Bgc Partners Backtesting, Bgc Partners Valuation, Bgc Partners Correlation, Bgc Partners Hype Analysis, Bgc Partners Volatility, Bgc Partners History as well as Bgc Partners Performance. Please specify Bgc Partners time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bgc Partners odds to be computed.

Bgc Partners Target Price Odds to finish over 4.24

The tendency of Bgc Partners Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.24 90 days 4.24 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bgc Partners to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bgc Partners Cl probability density function shows the probability of Bgc Partners Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Bgc Partners will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3614, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bgc Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bgc Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bgc Partners Cl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bgc Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bgc Partners in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.774.246.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.575.047.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.064.536.99
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.007.007.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bgc Partners. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bgc Partners' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bgc Partners' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bgc Partners Cl.

Bgc Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bgc Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bgc Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bgc Partners Cl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bgc Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.36
β
Beta against DOW1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Bgc Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bgc Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bgc Partners Cl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Bgc Partners exotic insider transaction detected

Bgc Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bgc Partners Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bgc Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bgc Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.00%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.04
Short Percent Of Float2.38%
Float Shares316.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.65M
Shares Short Prior Month7.01M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.85M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.97%

Bgc Partners Technical Analysis

Bgc Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bgc Partners Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bgc Partners Cl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bgc Partners Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bgc Partners Predictive Forecast Models

Bgc Partners time-series forecasting models is one of many Bgc Partners' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bgc Partners' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bgc Partners Cl

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bgc Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bgc Partners Cl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Bgc Partners Alerts

Bgc Partners Alerts and Suggestions

About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Bgc Partners exotic insider transaction detected
Continue to Bgc Partners Backtesting, Bgc Partners Valuation, Bgc Partners Correlation, Bgc Partners Hype Analysis, Bgc Partners Volatility, Bgc Partners History as well as Bgc Partners Performance. Note that the Bgc Partners Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bgc Partners' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Shere Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Bgc Partners Stock analysis

When running Bgc Partners Cl price analysis, check to measure Bgc Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bgc Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Bgc Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bgc Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bgc Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bgc Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bgc Partners' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bgc Partners. If investors know Bgc Partners will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bgc Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.057
Market Capitalization
1.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Return On Assets
0.0243
Return On Equity
0.16
The market value of Bgc Partners Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bgc Partners that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bgc Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bgc Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bgc Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bgc Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bgc Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bgc Partners value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bgc Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.