Bunge Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 90.48

BG
 Stock
  

USD 101.78  0.60  0.59%   

Bunge's future price is the expected price of Bunge instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bunge performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Bunge's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Bunge. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Bunge based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Bunge over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $100.0 is a CALL option contract on Bunge's common stock with a strick price of 100.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 12:14:10 for $4.5 and, as of today, has 20 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.0, and an ask price of $4.3. The implied volatility as of the 26th of November is 33.354. View All Bunge options

Closest to current price Bunge long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Bunge Backtesting, Bunge Valuation, Bunge Correlation, Bunge Hype Analysis, Bunge Volatility, Bunge History as well as Bunge Performance. Please specify Bunge time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bunge odds to be computed.

Bunge Target Price Odds to finish over 90.48

The tendency of Bunge Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 90.48  in 90 days
 101.78 90 days 90.48 
about 67.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bunge to stay above $ 90.48  in 90 days from now is about 67.71 (This Bunge probability density function shows the probability of Bunge Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bunge price to stay between $ 90.48  and its current price of $101.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.81 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Bunge has a beta of 0.88 suggesting Bunge market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bunge is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Bunge is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Bunge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bunge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bunge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bunge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bunge in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
99.52101.78104.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
96.6098.86111.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
100.25102.51104.77
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
86.00100.50110.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bunge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bunge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bunge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bunge.

Bunge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bunge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bunge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bunge, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bunge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW0.88
σ
Overall volatility
6.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Bunge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bunge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bunge can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bunge reports about 1.05 B in cash with (6.28 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.98.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Billionaire Ken Griffin Pours Money Into These 2 Strong Buy Stocks - TipRanks

Bunge Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bunge Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bunge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bunge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date17th of November 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out1.89%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.30
Short Percent Of Float2.17%
Float Shares148.73M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.36M
Shares Short Prior Month3.79M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.23M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

Bunge Technical Analysis

Bunge's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bunge Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bunge. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bunge Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bunge Predictive Forecast Models

Bunge time-series forecasting models is one of many Bunge's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bunge's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bunge

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bunge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bunge help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bunge reports about 1.05 B in cash with (6.28 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.98.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Billionaire Ken Griffin Pours Money Into These 2 Strong Buy Stocks - TipRanks
Continue to Bunge Backtesting, Bunge Valuation, Bunge Correlation, Bunge Hype Analysis, Bunge Volatility, Bunge History as well as Bunge Performance. Note that the Bunge information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bunge's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Bunge Stock analysis

When running Bunge price analysis, check to measure Bunge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bunge is operating at the current time. Most of Bunge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bunge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bunge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bunge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bunge's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bunge. If investors know Bunge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bunge listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.42) 
Market Capitalization
15.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.19
Return On Assets
0.0645
Return On Equity
0.18
The market value of Bunge is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bunge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bunge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bunge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bunge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bunge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bunge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bunge value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bunge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.