Bank First Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 69.92

BFC
 Stock
  

USD 77.40  0.44  0.57%   

Bank First's future price is the expected price of Bank First instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bank First National performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Bank First Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Earnings Ratio were at 12.20. The current year Price to Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 5.61, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 1.67.
  
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Continue to Bank First Backtesting, Bank First Valuation, Bank First Correlation, Bank First Hype Analysis, Bank First Volatility, Bank First History as well as Bank First Performance. Please specify Bank First time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bank First odds to be computed.
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Bank First Target Price Odds to finish over 69.92

The tendency of Bank First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 69.92  in 90 days
 77.40 90 days 69.92  about 86.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank First to stay above $ 69.92  in 90 days from now is about 86.56 (This Bank First National probability density function shows the probability of Bank First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank First National price to stay between $ 69.92  and its current price of $77.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.19 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bank First has a beta of 0.56 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank First average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank First National will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2055, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Bank First Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Bank First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank First National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bank First in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
75.9677.2678.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
69.6682.5083.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
77.4878.7880.08
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
76.0076.0076.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bank First National.

Bank First Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank First National, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.21
β
Beta against DOW0.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Bank First Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank First National can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bank First National was previously known as BANK FIRST CORP and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BFNC.
Bank First National has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Dow, SP 500 fall for a fifth straight day, U.S. stocks close mostly lower as Fed policy decision looms - MarketWatch

Bank First Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.83%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.84
Short Percent Of Float3.09%
Float Shares6.36M
Shares Short Prior Month205.78k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.78k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.97k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.09%

Bank First Technical Analysis

Bank First's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank First National. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bank First Predictive Forecast Models

Bank First time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank First's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bank First's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bank First National

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank First National help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Bank First Alerts

Bank First Alerts and Suggestions

Bank First National was previously known as BANK FIRST CORP and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol BFNC.
Bank First National has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Dow, SP 500 fall for a fifth straight day, U.S. stocks close mostly lower as Fed policy decision looms - MarketWatch
Continue to Bank First Backtesting, Bank First Valuation, Bank First Correlation, Bank First Hype Analysis, Bank First Volatility, Bank First History as well as Bank First Performance. Note that the Bank First National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bank First's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Bank First Stock analysis

When running Bank First National price analysis, check to measure Bank First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank First is operating at the current time. Most of Bank First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bank First's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank First. If investors know Bank First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank First listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.1
Market Capitalization
579.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.044
Return On Assets
0.0153
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Bank First National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank First's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank First's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank First's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank First's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank First's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bank First value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank First's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.