Balchem Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 121.10

BCPC
 Stock
  

USD 121.10  0.90  0.74%   

Balchem Cp's future price is the expected price of Balchem Cp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Balchem Cp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Balchem Cp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Balchem Cp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Balchem Cp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Balchem Cp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $120.0 is a CALL option contract on Balchem Cp's common stock with a strick price of 120.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 27 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.5, and an ask price of $6.5. The implied volatility as of the 24th of September is 29.3714. View All Balchem options

Closest to current price Balchem long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Balchem Cp Backtesting, Balchem Cp Valuation, Balchem Cp Correlation, Balchem Cp Hype Analysis, Balchem Cp Volatility, Balchem Cp History as well as Balchem Cp Performance. Please specify Balchem Cp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Balchem Cp odds to be computed.

Balchem Cp Target Price Odds to finish over 121.10

The tendency of Balchem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 121.10 90 days 121.10 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Balchem Cp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Balchem Cp probability density function shows the probability of Balchem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Balchem Cp has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Balchem Cp market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Balchem Cp is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0922, implying that it can generate a 0.0922 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Balchem Cp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Balchem Cp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Balchem Cp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Balchem Cp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Balchem Cp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
119.46121.17122.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
108.99149.36151.07
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
170.00172.50175.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Balchem Cp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Balchem Cp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Balchem Cp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Balchem Cp.

Balchem Cp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Balchem Cp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Balchem Cp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Balchem Cp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Balchem Cp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.09
β
Beta against DOW0.96
σ
Overall volatility
4.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Balchem Cp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Balchem Cp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Balchem Cp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Balchem Cp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Van Gunsteren Job Leonard of 1000 shares of Balchem Cp subject to Rule 16b-3

Balchem Cp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Balchem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Balchem Cp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Balchem Cp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.49%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.58
Short Percent Of Float2.05%
Float Shares31.88M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day116.24k
Shares Short Prior Month508.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month108.68k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.47%

Balchem Cp Technical Analysis

Balchem Cp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Balchem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Balchem Cp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Balchem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Balchem Cp Predictive Forecast Models

Balchem Cp time-series forecasting models is one of many Balchem Cp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Balchem Cp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Balchem Cp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Balchem Cp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Balchem Cp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Balchem Cp Alerts

Balchem Cp Alerts and Suggestions

Balchem Cp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Van Gunsteren Job Leonard of 1000 shares of Balchem Cp subject to Rule 16b-3
Continue to Balchem Cp Backtesting, Balchem Cp Valuation, Balchem Cp Correlation, Balchem Cp Hype Analysis, Balchem Cp Volatility, Balchem Cp History as well as Balchem Cp Performance. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Balchem Cp price analysis, check to measure Balchem Cp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Balchem Cp is operating at the current time. Most of Balchem Cp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Balchem Cp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Balchem Cp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Balchem Cp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Go
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Is Balchem Cp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Balchem Cp. If investors know Balchem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Balchem Cp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Balchem Cp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Balchem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Balchem Cp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Balchem Cp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Balchem Cp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Balchem Cp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Balchem Cp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Balchem Cp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Balchem Cp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.