Blucora Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.55

BCOR
 Stock
  

USD 21.55  0.40  1.89%   

Blucora's future price is the expected price of Blucora instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blucora performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Blucora Price to Earnings Ratio are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Blucora reported last year Price to Earnings Ratio of 108.25. As of 08/08/2022, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 0.97, while Price to Book Value is likely to drop 2.33.
  
Blucora's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Blucora. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Blucora based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Blucora over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $22.5 is a CALL option contract on Blucora's common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-05 at 15:49:08 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.6. The implied volatility as of the 8th of August is 54.8525. View All Blucora options

Closest to current price Blucora long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Blucora Backtesting, Blucora Valuation, Blucora Correlation, Blucora Hype Analysis, Blucora Volatility, Blucora History as well as Blucora Performance. Please specify Blucora time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Blucora odds to be computed.

Blucora Target Price Odds to finish over 21.55

The tendency of Blucora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.55 90 days 21.55 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blucora to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blucora probability density function shows the probability of Blucora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blucora has a beta of 0.65 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blucora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blucora will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.105, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Blucora Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blucora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blucora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blucora's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Blucora in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.7121.6923.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.9521.9323.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.3922.3724.35
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
22.0023.6726.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blucora. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blucora's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blucora's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Blucora.

Blucora Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blucora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blucora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blucora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blucora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.11
β
Beta against DOW0.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.036135

Blucora Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blucora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blucora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blucora was previously known as Inspire Medical Systems and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol INSP.
Blucora has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: NARSSA Announces Partnership with Avantax - Benzinga

Blucora Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blucora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blucora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blucora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.23%
Short Percent Of Float4.51%
Float Shares46.55M
Shares Short Prior Month1.77M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day264.35k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month355.96k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Blucora Technical Analysis

Blucora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blucora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blucora. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blucora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blucora Predictive Forecast Models

Blucora time-series forecasting models is one of many Blucora's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Blucora's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blucora

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blucora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blucora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Blucora Alerts

Blucora Alerts and Suggestions

Blucora was previously known as Inspire Medical Systems and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol INSP.
Blucora has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: NARSSA Announces Partnership with Avantax - Benzinga
Continue to Blucora Backtesting, Blucora Valuation, Blucora Correlation, Blucora Hype Analysis, Blucora Volatility, Blucora History as well as Blucora Performance. Note that the Blucora information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blucora's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for Blucora Stock analysis

When running Blucora price analysis, check to measure Blucora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blucora is operating at the current time. Most of Blucora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blucora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blucora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blucora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blucora's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blucora. If investors know Blucora will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blucora listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.25
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.11
Return On Assets
0.0368
Return On Equity
0.0425
The market value of Blucora is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blucora that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blucora's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blucora's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blucora's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blucora's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blucora's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Blucora value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blucora's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.