Bitcoin Cash Probability of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Under 126.79

BCH
 Crypto
  

USD 117.16  4.00  3.30%   

Bitcoin Cash's future price is the expected price of Bitcoin Cash instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bitcoin Cash performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Continue to Bitcoin Cash Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bitcoin Cash Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Bitcoin Cash Volatility, Bitcoin Cash History as well as Bitcoin Cash Performance. Please specify Bitcoin Cash time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Bitcoin Cash odds to be computed.

Bitcoin Cash Target Price Odds to finish below 126.79

The tendency of Bitcoin Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 126.79  after 90 days
 117.16 90 days 126.79 
about 62.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bitcoin Cash to stay under $ 126.79  after 90 days from now is about 62.14 (This Bitcoin Cash probability density function shows the probability of Bitcoin Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bitcoin Cash price to stay between its current price of $ 117.16  and $ 126.79  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bitcoin Cash has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bitcoin Cash average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bitcoin Cash will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.403, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bitcoin Cash Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bitcoin Cash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bitcoin Cash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitcoin Cash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bitcoin Cash in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
111.13117.16123.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
96.30102.33128.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
106.84112.87118.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.74126.62150.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bitcoin Cash. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bitcoin Cash's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bitcoin Cash's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bitcoin Cash.

Bitcoin Cash Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bitcoin Cash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bitcoin Cash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bitcoin Cash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bitcoin Cash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.40
β
Beta against DOW0.29
σ
Overall volatility
12.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Bitcoin Cash Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bitcoin Cash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bitcoin Cash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin Cash has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Bitcoin Cash Technical Analysis

Bitcoin Cash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bitcoin Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bitcoin Cash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bitcoin Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bitcoin Cash Predictive Forecast Models

Bitcoin Cash time-series forecasting models is one of many Bitcoin Cash's crypto coin analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Bitcoin Cash's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bitcoin Cash

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bitcoin Cash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bitcoin Cash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bitcoin Cash has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Continue to Bitcoin Cash Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bitcoin Cash Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, Bitcoin Cash Volatility, Bitcoin Cash History as well as Bitcoin Cash Performance. Note that the Bitcoin Cash information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bitcoin Cash's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Other Tools for Bitcoin Crypto Coin

When running Bitcoin Cash price analysis, check to measure Bitcoin Cash's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bitcoin Cash is operating at the current time. Most of Bitcoin Cash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Bitcoin Cash's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bitcoin Cash's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Bitcoin Cash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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