Banco Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.04

BCH
 Stock
  

USD 18.04  0.50  2.70%   

Banco DE's future price is the expected price of Banco DE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco DE Chile performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current Price to Book Value is estimated to increase to 1.73. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 9.01.
  
Continue to Banco DE Backtesting, Banco DE Valuation, Banco DE Correlation, Banco DE Hype Analysis, Banco DE Volatility, Banco DE History as well as Banco DE Performance. Please specify Banco DE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Banco DE odds to be computed.

Banco DE Target Price Odds to finish over 18.04

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.04 90 days 18.04 
about 78.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco DE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.08 (This Banco DE Chile probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Banco DE has a beta of 0.87 suggesting Banco DE Chile market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Banco DE is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Banco DE Chile is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Banco DE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco DE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco DE Chile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco DE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Banco DE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.7918.1920.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.2420.7723.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.9118.3020.70
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.0023.1724.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Banco DE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Banco DE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Banco DE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Banco DE Chile.

Banco DE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco DE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco DE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco DE Chile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco DE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.17
β
Beta against DOW0.87
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Banco DE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco DE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco DE Chile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco DE Chile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Banco DE Chile has about 7.51 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.86.
Banco DE Chile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.ifre.com: IFR SNAPSHOT - Mid-August market heats up with at least seven IG offerings - International Financing Review

Banco DE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco DE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco DE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.05%
Float Shares179.32M
Shares Short Prior Month149.48k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day231.11k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month196.41k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.03%

Banco DE Technical Analysis

Banco DE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco DE Chile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco DE Predictive Forecast Models

Banco DE time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco DE's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Banco DE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco DE Chile

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco DE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco DE Chile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Banco DE Alerts

Banco DE Alerts and Suggestions

Banco DE Chile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Banco DE Chile has about 7.51 B in cash with (2.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.86.
Banco DE Chile has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.ifre.com: IFR SNAPSHOT - Mid-August market heats up with at least seven IG offerings - International Financing Review
Continue to Banco DE Backtesting, Banco DE Valuation, Banco DE Correlation, Banco DE Hype Analysis, Banco DE Volatility, Banco DE History as well as Banco DE Performance. Note that the Banco DE Chile information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Banco DE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Banco DE Chile price analysis, check to measure Banco DE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco DE is operating at the current time. Most of Banco DE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco DE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco DE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco DE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Banco DE's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco DE. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco DE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.64
Market Capitalization
9.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.77
Return On Assets
0.0234
Return On Equity
0.28
The market value of Banco DE Chile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco DE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco DE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco DE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco DE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco DE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Banco DE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco DE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.