BCE Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 48.03

BCE
 Stock
  

USD 48.03  0.37  0.78%   

BCE's future price is the expected price of BCE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BCE Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
BCE's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on BCE Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of BCE based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in BCE Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $50.0 is a CALL option contract on BCE's common stock with a strick price of 50.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 11:49:25 for $0.07 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.2. The implied volatility as of the 27th of November is 13.4948. View All BCE options

Closest to current price BCE long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to BCE Backtesting, BCE Valuation, BCE Correlation, BCE Hype Analysis, BCE Volatility, BCE History as well as BCE Performance. Please specify BCE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BCE odds to be computed.

BCE Target Price Odds to finish over 48.03

The tendency of BCE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.03 90 days 48.03 
about 12.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BCE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.78 (This BCE Inc probability density function shows the probability of BCE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BCE has a beta of 1.0 suggesting BCE Inc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BCE is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. BCE Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
   BCE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BCE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BCE Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BCE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BCE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
46.2948.0349.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
48.0149.7551.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.6448.3850.12
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
47.7153.1159.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BCE Inc.

BCE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BCE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BCE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BCE Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BCE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.1
β
Beta against DOW1.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

BCE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BCE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BCE Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCE Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 31.46 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.37, which is OK given its current industry classification. BCE Inc has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist BCE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BCE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BCE Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BCE to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BCE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

BCE Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BCE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BCE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date14th of September 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out1.50%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.63
Float Shares908.32M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day970.91k
Shares Short Prior Month12.98M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.48M
Date Short Interest15th of November 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.63%

BCE Technical Analysis

BCE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BCE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BCE Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing BCE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BCE Predictive Forecast Models

BCE time-series forecasting models is one of many BCE's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary BCE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BCE Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about BCE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BCE Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BCE Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 31.46 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.37, which is OK given its current industry classification. BCE Inc has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist BCE until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BCE's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BCE Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BCE to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BCE's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Continue to BCE Backtesting, BCE Valuation, BCE Correlation, BCE Hype Analysis, BCE Volatility, BCE History as well as BCE Performance. Note that the BCE Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BCE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for BCE Stock analysis

When running BCE Inc price analysis, check to measure BCE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BCE is operating at the current time. Most of BCE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BCE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BCE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BCE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BCE's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BCE. If investors know BCE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BCE listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
43.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.032
Return On Assets
0.0511
Return On Equity
14.84
The market value of BCE Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BCE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BCE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BCE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BCE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BCE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BCE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BCE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BCE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.