Aspira Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.94

AWH
 Stock
  

USD 0.38  0.022825  6.34%   

Aspira Womens' future price is the expected price of Aspira Womens instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aspira Womens Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Aspira Womens Price to Book Value is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The preceding year's Price to Book Value was reported at 6.58. The current Price to Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 33.91, while Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to decrease to (6.82) .
  
Aspira Womens' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Aspira Womens Health. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Aspira Womens based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Aspira Womens Health over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 PUT at $5.0 is a PUT option contract on Aspira Womens' common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.2, and an ask price of $6.1. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 671.8266. View All Aspira options

Closest to current price Aspira long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Aspira Womens Backtesting, Aspira Womens Valuation, Aspira Womens Correlation, Aspira Womens Hype Analysis, Aspira Womens Volatility, Aspira Womens History as well as Aspira Womens Performance. Please specify Aspira Womens time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aspira Womens odds to be computed.

Aspira Womens Target Price Odds to finish below 0.94

The tendency of Aspira Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.94  after 90 days
 0.38 90 days 0.94 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aspira Womens to stay under $ 0.94  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aspira Womens Health probability density function shows the probability of Aspira Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aspira Womens Health price to stay between its current price of $ 0.38  and $ 0.94  at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.63 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This suggests Aspira Womens Health market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Aspira Womens is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Aspira Womens Health is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Aspira Womens Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aspira Womens

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aspira Womens Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aspira Womens' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aspira Womens in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.020.354.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.061.265.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0067980.344.81
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.004.004.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aspira Womens. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aspira Womens' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aspira Womens' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aspira Womens Health.

Aspira Womens Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aspira Womens is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aspira Womens' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aspira Womens Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aspira Womens within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.56
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Aspira Womens Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aspira Womens for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aspira Womens Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aspira Womens Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aspira Womens Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aspira Womens Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (31.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.06 M.
Aspira Womens Health has about 20.48 M in cash with (27.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Aspira Womens Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Aspira Womens Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aspira Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aspira Womens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aspira Womens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111210614.00
Cash And Short Term Investments37180000.00

Aspira Womens Technical Analysis

Aspira Womens' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aspira Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aspira Womens Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aspira Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aspira Womens Predictive Forecast Models

Aspira Womens time-series forecasting models is one of many Aspira Womens' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aspira Womens' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aspira Womens Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aspira Womens for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aspira Womens Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aspira Womens Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aspira Womens Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Aspira Womens Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (31.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.06 M.
Aspira Womens Health has about 20.48 M in cash with (27.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Aspira Womens Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Please continue to Aspira Womens Backtesting, Aspira Womens Valuation, Aspira Womens Correlation, Aspira Womens Hype Analysis, Aspira Womens Volatility, Aspira Womens History as well as Aspira Womens Performance. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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When running Aspira Womens Health price analysis, check to measure Aspira Womens' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspira Womens is operating at the current time. Most of Aspira Womens' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspira Womens' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspira Womens' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspira Womens to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aspira Womens' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspira Womens. If investors know Aspira will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspira Womens listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
45 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.24
Return On Assets
(0.63) 
Return On Equity
(1.25) 
The market value of Aspira Womens Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspira that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspira Womens' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspira Womens' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspira Womens' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspira Womens' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspira Womens' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aspira Womens value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspira Womens' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.