Aspira Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.58

AWH
 Stock
  

USD 0.73  0.14  23.73%   

Aspira Womans' future price is the expected price of Aspira Womans instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aspira Womans Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Aspira Womans Price to Book Value is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The preceding year's Price to Book Value was reported at 6.58. The current Price to Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 33.91, while Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to decrease to (6.82) .
  
Refresh
Aspira Womans' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Aspira Womans Health. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Aspira Womans based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Aspira Womans Health over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on Aspira Womans' common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2021-12-17 at 11:24:32 for $1.12 and, as of today, has 13 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.35, and an ask price of $2.25. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of July is 426.7987. View All Aspira options

Closest to current price Aspira long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Aspira Womans Backtesting, Aspira Womans Valuation, Aspira Womans Correlation, Aspira Womans Hype Analysis, Aspira Womans Volatility, Aspira Womans History as well as Aspira Womans Performance. Please specify Aspira Womans time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Aspira Womans odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Aspira Womans Target Price Odds to finish over 0.58

The tendency of Aspira Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.58  in 90 days
 0.73 90 days 0.58  about 72.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aspira Womans to stay above $ 0.58  in 90 days from now is about 72.57 (This Aspira Womans Health probability density function shows the probability of Aspira Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aspira Womans Health price to stay between $ 0.58  and its current price of $0.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.53 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aspira Womans will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.223, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Aspira Womans Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Aspira Womans

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aspira Womans Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aspira Womans' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aspira Womans in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.040.7411.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.081.5512.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0156750.7811.48
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.004.004.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aspira Womans. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aspira Womans' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aspira Womans' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aspira Womans Health.

Aspira Womans Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aspira Womans is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aspira Womans' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aspira Womans Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aspira Womans within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.22
β
Beta against DOW1.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.008647

Aspira Womans Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aspira Womans for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aspira Womans Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aspira Womans Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aspira Womans Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aspira Womans Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (31.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.06 M.
Aspira Womans Health has about 37.18 M in cash with (27.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Aspira Womans Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Even after rising 18 percent this past week, Aspira Womens Health shareholders are still down 88 percent over the past year - Simply Wall St

Aspira Womans Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aspira Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aspira Womans' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aspira Womans' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.42%
Short Percent Of Float5.82%
Float Shares62.27M
Shares Short Prior Month4.9M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.27M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month909.7k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Aspira Womans Technical Analysis

Aspira Womans' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aspira Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aspira Womans Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aspira Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aspira Womans Predictive Forecast Models

Aspira Womans time-series forecasting models is one of many Aspira Womans' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Aspira Womans' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aspira Womans Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aspira Womans for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aspira Womans Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Aspira Womans Alerts

Aspira Womans Alerts and Suggestions

Aspira Womans Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aspira Womans Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Aspira Womans Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.81 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (31.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.06 M.
Aspira Womans Health has about 37.18 M in cash with (27.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.
Aspira Womans Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Even after rising 18 percent this past week, Aspira Womens Health shareholders are still down 88 percent over the past year - Simply Wall St
Please continue to Aspira Womans Backtesting, Aspira Womans Valuation, Aspira Womans Correlation, Aspira Womans Hype Analysis, Aspira Womans Volatility, Aspira Womans History as well as Aspira Womans Performance. Note that the Aspira Womans Health information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aspira Womans' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Aspira Stock analysis

When running Aspira Womans Health price analysis, check to measure Aspira Womans' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspira Womans is operating at the current time. Most of Aspira Womans' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspira Womans' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspira Womans' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspira Womans to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Go
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Is Aspira Womans' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspira Womans. If investors know Aspira will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspira Womans listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
82.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.27
Return On Assets
-0.48
Return On Equity
-0.95
The market value of Aspira Womans Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspira that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspira Womans' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspira Womans' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspira Womans' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspira Womans' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspira Womans' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aspira Womans value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspira Womans' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.