Atmos Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 117.13

ATO
 Stock
  

USD 117.13  0.18  0.15%   

Atmos Energy's future price is the expected price of Atmos Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atmos Energy Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Atmos Energy Price to Book Value is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Price to Book Value is estimated at 1.93. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 21.20 this year, although the value of Price to Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 3.47.
  
Atmos Energy's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Atmos Energy Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Atmos Energy based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Atmos Energy Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $115.0 is a CALL option contract on Atmos Energy's common stock with a strick price of 115.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-12 at 15:48:34 for $1.96 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.7, and an ask price of $3.2. The implied volatility as of the 15th of August 2022 is 6.3004. View All Atmos options

Closest to current price Atmos long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Atmos Energy Backtesting, Atmos Energy Valuation, Atmos Energy Correlation, Atmos Energy Hype Analysis, Atmos Energy Volatility, Atmos Energy History as well as Atmos Energy Performance. Please specify Atmos Energy time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Atmos Energy odds to be computed.

Atmos Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 117.13

The tendency of Atmos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 117.13 90 days 117.13 
about 15.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atmos Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.19 (This Atmos Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Atmos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Atmos Energy has a beta of 0.65. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atmos Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atmos Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0131, implying that it can generate a 0.0131 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atmos Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atmos Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atmos Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atmos Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atmos Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
115.41116.83118.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
105.87107.29128.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
115.21116.63118.05
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
101.00112.83126.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atmos Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atmos Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atmos Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atmos Energy Corp.

Atmos Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atmos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atmos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atmos Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atmos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.013101
β
Beta against DOW0.65
σ
Overall volatility
3.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.0085

Atmos Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atmos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atmos Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atmos Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: CenterPoint Energy Inc. stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch

Atmos Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atmos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atmos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atmos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.35%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.50
Short Percent Of Float5.50%
Float Shares137.93M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.36M
Shares Short Prior Month5.79M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month969.49k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.17%

Atmos Energy Technical Analysis

Atmos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atmos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atmos Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atmos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atmos Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Atmos Energy time-series forecasting models is one of many Atmos Energy's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Atmos Energy's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atmos Energy Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atmos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atmos Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Atmos Energy Alerts

Atmos Energy Alerts and Suggestions

Atmos Energy Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: CenterPoint Energy Inc. stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch
Please continue to Atmos Energy Backtesting, Atmos Energy Valuation, Atmos Energy Correlation, Atmos Energy Hype Analysis, Atmos Energy Volatility, Atmos Energy History as well as Atmos Energy Performance. Note that the Atmos Energy Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atmos Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Atmos Stock analysis

When running Atmos Energy Corp price analysis, check to measure Atmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Atmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Is Atmos Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atmos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.18
Market Capitalization
16.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Return On Assets
0.0279
Return On Equity
0.0882
The market value of Atmos Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atmos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atmos Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atmos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.