ATAI Life Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.48

ATAI
 Stock
  

USD 3.48  0.07  1.97%   

ATAI Life's future price is the expected price of ATAI Life instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ATAI Life Sciences performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
ATAI Life's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ATAI Life Sciences. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ATAI Life based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ATAI Life Sciences over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on ATAI Life's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-01 at 15:51:13 for $0.9 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.9, and an ask price of $1.75. The implied volatility as of the 5th of December is 301.7626. View All ATAI Life options

Closest to current price ATAI Life long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to ATAI Life Backtesting, ATAI Life Valuation, ATAI Life Correlation, ATAI Life Hype Analysis, ATAI Life Volatility, ATAI Life History as well as ATAI Life Performance. Please specify ATAI Life time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ATAI Life odds to be computed.

ATAI Life Target Price Odds to finish over 3.48

The tendency of ATAI Life Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.48 90 days 3.48 
about 37.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATAI Life to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.2 (This ATAI Life Sciences probability density function shows the probability of ATAI Life Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ATAI Life will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. ATAI Life Sciences is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   ATAI Life Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ATAI Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATAI Life Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ATAI Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ATAI Life in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.183.558.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.2010.5015.23
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.0031.7850.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.95-0.8-0.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ATAI Life. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ATAI Life's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ATAI Life's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ATAI Life Sciences.

ATAI Life Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATAI Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATAI Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATAI Life Sciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATAI Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.39
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

ATAI Life Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATAI Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATAI Life Sciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATAI Life Sciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ATAI Life Sciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (167.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.38 M.
ATAI Life Sciences currently holds about 304.06 M in cash with (63.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.83.

ATAI Life Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATAI Life Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATAI Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATAI Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding152569776.00
Cash And Short Term Investments362266000.00

ATAI Life Technical Analysis

ATAI Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATAI Life Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATAI Life Sciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATAI Life Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ATAI Life Predictive Forecast Models

ATAI Life time-series forecasting models is one of many ATAI Life's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ATAI Life's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ATAI Life Sciences

Checking the ongoing alerts about ATAI Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATAI Life Sciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATAI Life Sciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ATAI Life Sciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (167.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.38 M.
ATAI Life Sciences currently holds about 304.06 M in cash with (63.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.83.
Please continue to ATAI Life Backtesting, ATAI Life Valuation, ATAI Life Correlation, ATAI Life Hype Analysis, ATAI Life Volatility, ATAI Life History as well as ATAI Life Performance. Note that the ATAI Life Sciences information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ATAI Life's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Complementary Tools for ATAI Life Stock analysis

When running ATAI Life Sciences price analysis, check to measure ATAI Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ATAI Life is operating at the current time. Most of ATAI Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ATAI Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ATAI Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ATAI Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ATAI Life's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATAI Life. If investors know ATAI Life will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ATAI Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.97) 
Market Capitalization
588.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.91) 
Return On Assets
(0.22) 
Return On Equity
(0.54) 
The market value of ATAI Life Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ATAI Life that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ATAI Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ATAI Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ATAI Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ATAI Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ATAI Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ATAI Life value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATAI Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.