Asure Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.5

ASUR
 Stock
  

USD 5.69  0.04  0.71%   

Asure Software's future price is the expected price of Asure Software instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asure Software performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Asure Software's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Asure Software. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Asure Software based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Asure Software over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Asure Software's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-09 at 10:52:46 for $0.7 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 29th of September is 73.7986. View All Asure options

Closest to current price Asure long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Asure Software Backtesting, Asure Software Valuation, Asure Software Correlation, Asure Software Hype Analysis, Asure Software Volatility, Asure Software History as well as Asure Software Performance. Please specify Asure Software time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Asure Software odds to be computed.

Asure Software Target Price Odds to finish over 13.5

The tendency of Asure Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.50  or more in 90 days
 5.69 90 days 13.50 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asure Software to move over $ 13.50  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Asure Software probability density function shows the probability of Asure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asure Software price to stay between its current price of $ 5.69  and $ 13.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Asure Software has a beta of 0.73. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Asure Software average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asure Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0669, implying that it can generate a 0.0669 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Asure Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asure Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asure Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asure Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Asure Software in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.205.658.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.147.5910.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.345.798.24
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0013.5016.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asure Software. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asure Software's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asure Software's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Asure Software.

Asure Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asure Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asure Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asure Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asure Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.07
β
Beta against DOW0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.033898

Asure Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asure Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asure Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asure Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.fightinghawksmagazine.com: Workspace Management Software Market Production Demand by 2031 - Fighting Hawks Magazine

Asure Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asure Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asure Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asure Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.42%
Short Percent Of Float1.73%
Float Shares15.16M
Shares Short Prior Month306.48k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day57.33k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month61.38k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Asure Software Technical Analysis

Asure Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asure Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asure Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asure Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asure Software Predictive Forecast Models

Asure Software time-series forecasting models is one of many Asure Software's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Asure Software's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asure Software

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asure Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asure Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asure Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.fightinghawksmagazine.com: Workspace Management Software Market Production Demand by 2031 - Fighting Hawks Magazine
Please continue to Asure Software Backtesting, Asure Software Valuation, Asure Software Correlation, Asure Software Hype Analysis, Asure Software Volatility, Asure Software History as well as Asure Software Performance. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Asure Software price analysis, check to measure Asure Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asure Software is operating at the current time. Most of Asure Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asure Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asure Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asure Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Asure Software's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asure Software. If investors know Asure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Asure Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Asure Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Asure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asure Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asure Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asure Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asure Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asure Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Asure Software value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asure Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.