Archrock Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.53

AROC
 Stock
  

USD 8.91  0.18  2.06%   

Archrock's future price is the expected price of Archrock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Archrock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 1.32. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 44.83.
  
Please continue to Archrock Backtesting, Archrock Valuation, Archrock Correlation, Archrock Hype Analysis, Archrock Volatility, Archrock History as well as Archrock Performance. Please specify Archrock time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Archrock odds to be computed.

Archrock Target Price Odds to finish over 6.53

The tendency of Archrock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 6.53  in 90 days
 8.91 90 days 6.53 
about 88.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archrock to stay above $ 6.53  in 90 days from now is about 88.14 (This Archrock probability density function shows the probability of Archrock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archrock price to stay between $ 6.53  and its current price of $8.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Archrock will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1337, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Archrock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Archrock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archrock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archrock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Archrock in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.278.8611.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.769.3511.94
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0010.5011.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.230.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Archrock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Archrock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Archrock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Archrock.

Archrock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archrock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archrock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archrock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archrock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.77
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Archrock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archrock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archrock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2022 Archrock paid $ 0.145 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Archrock Third Quarter 2022 Earnings EPS US0.10 - Simply Wall St

Archrock Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archrock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archrock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archrock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150828000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1569000.00

Archrock Technical Analysis

Archrock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archrock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archrock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archrock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Archrock Predictive Forecast Models

Archrock time-series forecasting models is one of many Archrock's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Archrock's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Archrock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Archrock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archrock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of November 2022 Archrock paid $ 0.145 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Archrock Third Quarter 2022 Earnings EPS US0.10 - Simply Wall St
Please continue to Archrock Backtesting, Archrock Valuation, Archrock Correlation, Archrock Hype Analysis, Archrock Volatility, Archrock History as well as Archrock Performance. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Archrock price analysis, check to measure Archrock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archrock is operating at the current time. Most of Archrock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archrock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archrock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archrock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Is Archrock's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archrock. If investors know Archrock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archrock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Archrock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archrock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archrock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archrock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archrock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archrock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archrock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Archrock value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archrock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.