Archrock Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.34

AROC
 Stock
  

USD 6.34  0.04  0.63%   

Archrock's future price is the expected price of Archrock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Archrock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Archrock's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Archrock. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Archrock based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Archrock over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Archrock's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 24 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.75, and an ask price of $1.85. The implied volatility as of the 28th of September is 46.8286. View All Archrock options

Closest to current price Archrock long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please continue to Archrock Backtesting, Archrock Valuation, Archrock Correlation, Archrock Hype Analysis, Archrock Volatility, Archrock History as well as Archrock Performance. Please specify Archrock time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Archrock odds to be computed.

Archrock Target Price Odds to finish over 6.34

The tendency of Archrock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.34 90 days 6.34 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archrock to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Archrock probability density function shows the probability of Archrock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Archrock has a beta of 0.71. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Archrock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Archrock will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Archrock is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Archrock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Archrock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archrock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Archrock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Archrock in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
3.806.298.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.027.5110.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.465.948.43
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0010.5011.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Archrock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Archrock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Archrock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Archrock.

Archrock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archrock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archrock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archrock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archrock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.27
β
Beta against DOW0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Archrock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archrock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archrock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Archrock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 16th of August 2022 Archrock paid $ 0.145 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from beststocks.com: Top Energy Equipment Services Stocks to Buy Now and Hold - Best Stocks

Archrock Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archrock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archrock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archrock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.66%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.58
Short Percent Of Float6.08%
Float Shares134.6M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day962.01k
Shares Short Prior Month5.7M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month852.92k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield8.84%

Archrock Technical Analysis

Archrock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archrock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archrock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archrock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Archrock Predictive Forecast Models

Archrock time-series forecasting models is one of many Archrock's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Archrock's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Archrock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Archrock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archrock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Archrock Alerts

Archrock Alerts and Suggestions

Archrock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 16th of August 2022 Archrock paid $ 0.145 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from beststocks.com: Top Energy Equipment Services Stocks to Buy Now and Hold - Best Stocks
Please continue to Archrock Backtesting, Archrock Valuation, Archrock Correlation, Archrock Hype Analysis, Archrock Volatility, Archrock History as well as Archrock Performance. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Archrock price analysis, check to measure Archrock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archrock is operating at the current time. Most of Archrock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archrock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archrock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archrock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Archrock's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archrock. If investors know Archrock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archrock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Archrock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archrock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archrock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archrock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archrock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archrock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archrock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Archrock value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archrock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.